ChatGPT

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

15 September 2024
Introduction
This set of automatically curated slides provides an instant overview about possible futures to help inform present day strategy, and for you to act on opportunities and risks and mitigate threats in a timely manner. Learn more.

You can also

If you'd like to create your own set of slides like these, just search for your topic of interest and then click "Publish".
Contents
User Guide
Click on the blue source names to view the original evidence.
Click on the donut charts or use the selection options below to change views.
Click on words in the clouds to view more details about it.
Press "F" for full-screen
Press "Esc" for overview
Sources
RSS Feeds
Twitter Searches
Web Searches
Twitter Feeds
World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
If 2023 was the year of ChatGPT, then 2024 will be the year when the world recovers from the shock of generative AI and takes stock of what the technology offers. The Guardian
ChatGPT, personal recommendations on Netflix and a virtual assistant like Siri or Alexa: it is already hard to imagine a world without AI. Tech Xplore
While the proposed AI Act is yet to be ratified by member states and will not come into force until at least in 2025, it is set to be the world's first comprehensive laws regulating artificial intelligence, governing the use of technologies such as facial recognition and ChatGPT. THIIS Magazine
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • X's bot, Grok, has gained attention due to Elon Musk pitching it as a funny / vulgar alternative to traditional AI, playing on the fact that with over half of ChatGPT users talking to AI like it's a real person, giving Grok a strong personality might appeal to users. Gwi
  • Reports have been widely circulating that the search dominance Google currently holds could be under attack from new AI driven tools such as ChatGPT, more so than the threat of regulators. Verdict
  • While OpenAI released ChatGPT without expecting its eventual popularity and extent of usage, Microsoft is clearly under immense pressure to turn Bing Chat and Search into a success story. Analytics India Magazine
Weaknesses
  • Pakistan's education system is ailing, and the presence of ChatGPT may increase the risk of its unethical use. The Nation
  • OpenAI is concerned that users might become emotionally reliant on ChatGPT's new lifelike voice mode, which sounds human-like, responds in real-time, and gauges emotional tones. The Botanalytics Blog
  • OpenAI is worried that people might start to rely on ChatGPT too much for companionship, potentially leading to dependence, because of its new human-sounding voice mode. CNN
Opportunities
  • 46% of business owners use AI to create internal communications, and nearly all believe ChatGPT will help their business. Oxford Global Resources
  • Camera Control will serve as a gateway into third-party tools with specific domain expertise, like when users want to search Google to find where they can buy an item, or to benefit from ChatGPT's problem-solving skills. Apple Newsroom (Australia)
  • Camera Control will serve as a gateway into third-party tools with specific domain expertise, like when users want to search on Google to find where they can buy an item, or to benefit from ChatGPT's problem-solving skills. Apple Newsroom
Threats
  • Challenge number four is that AI is already exposing workers to risk, with allegations that contractors in Kenya have been exposed to harmful and degrading online material while training OpenAI's ChatGPT models. British Safety Council India
  • The leading company in the boom, ChatGPT maker OpenAI, could lose up to $5bn in 2024. New Statesman
  • Companies like Apple, Samsung, and Verizon have prohibited the use of ChatGPT internally due to the risk of data exposure. DevRev
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
artificial intelligence, humanoid, literature, quantum
Emerging
artificial intelligence, application, company, app, Web, actor
Maturing
economy, organization
Declining
IT, agriculture
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
If 2023 was the year of ChatGPT, then 2024 will be the year when the world recovers from the shock of generative AI and takes stock of what the technology offers. The Guardian
Experts across the world have been warning about the role of tools like ChatGPT will have in fabricating fake news and influencing public opinion during the biggest election year in history. TechRadar
PEST
Political
  • GPT-4o will be accessible to all ChatGPT users, with paid subscribers having access to five times the rate limits of free users. Ars Technica
  • LAS VEGAS-Volkswagen will integrate ChatGPT into its vehicles in the second quarter of 2024, making it the first large car manufacturer to offer it as a standard feature. PCMAG
  • With DePINs, there's potential for the emergence of decentralized equivalents to Uber or Airbnb and democratic alternatives to platforms like ChatGPT, which are fueled and owned by their contributors. Metaverse Post
Economic
  • Apple is considering investing in the ChatGPT maker during its next funding round - one that will value OpenAI at more than $100 billion. AOL
  • ChatGPT has an estimated monthly 80 million dollars in revenue in 2023 with a projected total annual revenue of 1 billion dollars by 2024. JUST Creative
  • ChatGPT Enterprise, which had 600,000+ users in April, has been going strong with teams across sectors like consulting, finance, marketing and sales adopting it for knowledge work. VentureBeat
Social
  • The power required to reply to hundreds of millions of ChatGPT queries each day could power 33,000 households in the U.S. alone. Yahoo Tech
  • Apple will use ChatGPT as a backup, and to power features it is not able to manage itself. The Guardian
  • Even though some security experts predict phishing attackers will decrease their efforts, they are likely to ramp up again in 2023 and 2024 to include CHATGPT-3 AI-powered attacks.
Technological
  • While Apple users will have to send their personal information and AI queries to OpenAI if they want to use ChatGPT, Apple has said that most of the time Apple Intelligence will not be sending user data anywhere. CNN
  • Camera Control will serve as a gateway into third-party tools with specific domain expertise, like when users want to search on Google to find where to buy an item or use ChatGPT to solve problems. DIGITIMES Inc.
  • OpenAI is reportedly negotiating a fresh round of funding that could value the ChatGPT maker at $100 billion. ResearchBuzz
Financial Impact
2023 venture investment in generative AI companies will exceed 2022's level of $4.5 billion due in part to Microsoft's recent $10 billion investment in OpenAI, the startup behind ChatGPT. Forbes
OpenAI's revenue is expected to reach $200 million by 2023 and $1 billion by 2024, mainly driven by ChatGPT. Bloggingio
ChatGPT and AI could be worth $150 billion in value to Microsoft alone. Insider
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
While the world focuses on the AI arms race fueled by cloud-based behemoths like ChatGPT and PaLM, Apple might be brewing a quieter revolution within the confines of its sleek devices. GizChina Media
The UK, the US, and India - the world's most populous nation - are just three of the countries set to hold elections in 2024, each for the first time since powerful generative AI tools like ChatGPT and Midjourney went mainstream. Sky News
The datasphere - all the data that exists in the world - will explode as a function of metadata created by AI such as ChatGPT. Morningstar UK
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
ChatGPT declares that three years later in 2073, the world is almost entirely vegan, foreshadowing the animal agriculture industry completely collapsing in 2075, and any animal-related farming being obsolete. Plant Based News
Goldman Sachs economists put out a report in late November that AI platforms such as ChatGPT could eventually displace 300 million jobs around the globe - mostly professional jobs such as lawyers, accountants and administrative professionals. The Messenger
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
There is a fear of missing out among companies, S&P Global argues - that they might adopt too late what turns out to be a foundationally transformative technology - that is helping drive ChatGPT's rapid uptake. Engadget
There is a fear of missing out among companies, S&P Global argues - that they might adopt too late what turns out to be a foundationally transformative technology - that is helping drive ChatGPT's rapid uptake. Engadget
The advent of generative AI, which includes chatbots such as OpenAI's ChatGPT and Google's Bard, has triggered concern that the technology could replace jobs, leading governments around the world to scramble to understand AI tools and respond. The Washington Post
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
ChatGPT could ultimately replace Google's search engine, which powers one of the biggest digital ad businesses in the world. Vox
Now Nasa engineers say they are developing their own ChatGPT-style interface that could ultimately allow astronauts to talk to their spacecraft and mission controllers to converse with artificial intelligence-powered robots exploring distant planets and moons. The Guardian
Ultimately, Gildenberg said AI innovations like ChatGPT will continue to be a big deal as the world becomes more digital. Modern Retail
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
Tech advances fueled by generative A.I. such as ChatGPT could affect approximately 300 million jobs worldwide over the next decade, and that around two-thirds of US occupations are vulnerable. The University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Tech advances fueled by generative A.I. such as ChatGPT could affect approximately 300 million jobs worldwide over the next decade. The University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Questions
Can?
Why rely on under-staffed and under-funded school systems to teach our children when the internet offers access to all the world's information, and tools like search engines, countless apps and ChatGPT that can guide them in the processing and use of it? ABC Religion & Ethics
How can we create a digital grimoire with ChatGPT that captures the spirit of a Magickal diary while embracing the advancements of the modern world? PDFCOFFEE.COM
With advancements in AI, some might be tempted to switch from Dr. Google to Dr. ChatGPT, but can OpenAI's AI-powered chatbot provide accurate medical advice? Tech Xplore
How?
How have generative AI and ChatGPT changed the US government's microchip priorities? Wired
How can traders use ChatGPT to create and test their own trading strategies? Quantified Strategies
How could Apple and ChatGPT's new AI partnership disrupt Meta & Google? [SMK] Social Media Knowledge
Who?
LLMs such as OpenAI's GPT-4, Google's Gemini, and Anthropic's Claude have become very popular among the general internet audience, especially when consumed via easy-to-use interfaces like ChatGPT for getting fast answers to queries such as Who is the first president of the U.S.? Dataversity
Who are the major competitors to ChatGPT in China? China Briefing News
What?
What sets Grok apart from rivals like OpenAI's ChatGPT, and what implications does its development have for the future of AI? ExpertBeacon
How are generative AI technologies such as ChatGPT disrupting what it means to own one's work? Harvard Gazette
ChatGPT, what are some advantages and disadvantages of solar energy? Richard Campbell
When?
We hate when humans act like robots, so could artificial intelligence-based innovations like ChatGPT really provide customer service in a call center? The Financial Brand
For all of the hype around generative AI, when will consumers have a ChatGPT-like service within their financial services website and mobile app? Forbes
What ChatGPT means for developers - Will ChatGPT replace software developers, or will it make their jobs more enjoyable by doing the heavy lifting when it comes to writing boilerplate code, debugging and testing? Information Age
Will?
Will ChatGPT make the already troubling income and wealth inequality in the US and many other countries even worse, or could it in fact provide a much-needed boost to productivity? MIT Technology Review
AI moves Apple can make at WWDC to leapfrog the competition | ZDNET >> Will Siri Become More Like ChatGPT? Futureseek Link Digest
OpenAI and Reddit's data partnership, will Google's AI plays help them catch ChatGPT, and what's next for Microsoft? Podtail
Shaping Tomorrow Foresight

Shaping Tomorrow is a full-service foresight and collective intelligence company, offering expert panels, deep-dives, workshops and keynote speeches in addition to its horizon scanning services. Feel free to contact us at any time. You can ask for telephone training and to discuss your needs. We value your ideas, comments, encouragement and criticisms.