ChatGPT

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

11 February 2025
Introduction
This set of automatically curated slides provides an instant overview about possible futures to help inform present day strategy, and for you to act on opportunities and risks and mitigate threats in a timely manner. Learn more.

You can also

If you'd like to create your own set of slides like these, just search for your topic of interest and then click "Publish".
Contents
User Guide
Click on the blue source names to view the original evidence.
Click on the donut charts or use the selection options below to change views.
Click on words in the clouds to view more details about it.
Press "F" for full-screen
Press "Esc" for overview
Sources
RSS Feeds
Twitter Searches
Web Searches
Twitter Feeds
World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
If 2023 was the year of ChatGPT, then 2024 will be the year when the world recovers from the shock of generative AI and takes stock of what the technology offers. The Guardian
ChatGPT, personal recommendations on Netflix and a virtual assistant like Siri or Alexa: it is already hard to imagine a world without AI. Tech Xplore
While the proposed AI Act is yet to be ratified by member states and will not come into force until at least in 2025, it is set to be the world's first comprehensive laws regulating artificial intelligence, governing the use of technologies such as facial recognition and ChatGPT. THIIS Magazine
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • The integration of ChatGPT in academic environments, the EU's proactive stance on AI misuse, and Google's introspection on its ethical responsibilities all point to a future where the benefits of AI are maximized while its risks are carefully managed. News, Events, Advertising Options
  • As organizations across sectors adopt AI chatbots, understanding how ChatGPT and Google Bard can be utilized in specific applications will shed light on their prospects for dominance in 2025. UMA Technology
  • Future ChatGPT statistics indicate that 63% of its social media traffic is expected to originate from YouTube, highlighting a strong preference for video-based content among users. Intelliarts
Weaknesses
  • Microsoft, who recently invested US$ 10 billion on OpenAI, plans to offer a privacy-focused version of ChatGPT that will run on dedicated cloud servers where data is isolated from other customers and is tailored to companies that have concerns regarding data leaks and compliance. SpringerLink
  • Critical Vulnerability in ChatGPT API Enables Reflective DDoS Attacks: A concerning security flaw has been identified in OpenAI's ChatGPT API, allowing malicious actors to execute Reflective Distributed Denial of Service attacks on arbitrary websites. eDiscovery Today by Doug Austin
  • The mainstream use of AI technology with ChatGPT and OpenAI has increased the potential risk of Shadow AI (the use of non-approved public AI applications, potentially causing concerns about compromising sensitive information). eCampus News
Opportunities
  • Identifying which websites receive more traffic from ChatGPT compared to traditional search engines like Google and Bing can help pinpoint shifts in user behaviour and uncover new opportunities emerging from AI-driven search trends. Semrush
  • Apple's Siri has lagged behind AI-powered assistants like ChatGPT and Google Assistant, but the rise of generative AI presents an opportunity for Apple to revamp it. RankRed
  • ChatGPT's user base will surpass 1 billion users in 2025, driven by continual improvements in the platform and OpenAI's investment in infrastructure and AI technology. Elfsight
Threats
  • The latest disruption in the global tech sector was caused by China's DeepSeek R1 AI model, supposedly developed for a fraction of the cost of building AI models like ChatGPT. International Business Times UK
  • As ChatGPT becomes mainstream, we need to understand the Confusion Matrix that will ensure with the power of AI and ChatGPT versus the humans in the future as more and more AI-generated content and analytics proliferates the world in 2025 and beyond. Kapil Khandelwal KK
  • AI tools like ChatGPT, Kaspersky warns, can generate malicious software, automate mass attacks, and log smartphone inputs via sensor data to steal sensitive information. Mint
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
artificial intelligence, humanoid, literature, quantum
Emerging
artificial intelligence, application, company, app, data, actor
Maturing
economy, organization
Declining
IT, agriculture
Sentiment
Past Year: More Positive
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
If 2023 was the year of ChatGPT, then 2024 will be the year when the world recovers from the shock of generative AI and takes stock of what the technology offers. The Guardian
Experts across the world have been warning about the role of tools like ChatGPT will have in fabricating fake news and influencing public opinion during the biggest election year in history. TechRadar
PEST
Political
  • OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, says it will launch tools to fight disinformation ahead of a series of elections in 2024. CyberNews
  • ChatGPT integration with Siri will include daily usage limits for free users and a $19.99 monthly Plus upgrade option offering expanded access to GPT-4o features and DALL-E image generation. AI - IT - Engineering - Cloud - Finance - Trends
  • As the hype surrounding generative artificial intelligence such as OpenAI's ChatGPT continues to build, law firms have become increasingly interested in understanding its myriad risks and benefits in the unique context of legal work.
Economic
  • 4 Ads could start cropping up in ChatGPT OpenAI is on a revenue drive, and advertising is an obvious cash source. MIT Technology Review
  • At a time when services such as ChatGPT and TikTok are already redefining how users search, tiny rivals potentially becoming more attractive to users could force the bigger companies to accelerate their investments in regional upgrades. / China Wired
  • The ChatGPT maker is expecting $5 billion in losses on $3.7 billion in revenue in 2024. AIM
Social
  • OpenAI says it plans to grant a handful of medical researchers at leading institutions free access to ChatGPT Pro, which will include o1 pro mode. TechCrunch
  • As ChatGPT says it has 250 million weekly users, in some ways that's going to begin to impact Google search as a whole. AI Supremacy
  • ChatGPT Search does not pose a threat to Google - yet. Quad
Technological
  • Unlike the free version of ChatGPT, conversations using ChatGPT Edu will stay within CSU and cannot be used to train OpenAI models. Long Beach Post News
  • Other companies producing wearables will scramble to secure access to leading models such as Meta AI, Google Gemini and ChatGPT to add a similar level of awareness and understanding to their devices. CCS Insight
  • For much of the past two-plus years since ChatGPT kicked off the global AI frenzy, investors have bet that improvements in AI will require ever more advanced chips from the likes of Nvidia. Yahoo News
Financial Impact
For perspective, the levels of consumer spend are still modest for a company that is now valued at close to USD $160 billion, but consumer in-app revenues only represent a tiny fraction of the ChatGPT opportunity, especially when compared with potential enterprise sales. DataReportal - Global Digital Insights
OpenAI is reportedly negotiating a fresh round of funding that could value the ChatGPT maker at $100 billion. ResearchBuzz
Apple is considering investing in the ChatGPT maker during its next funding round - one that will value OpenAI at more than $100 billion. AOL
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
While the world focuses on the AI arms race fueled by cloud-based behemoths like ChatGPT and PaLM, Apple might be brewing a quieter revolution within the confines of its sleek devices. GizChina Media
The UK, the US, and India - the world's most populous nation - are just three of the countries set to hold elections in 2024, each for the first time since powerful generative AI tools like ChatGPT and Midjourney went mainstream. Sky News
The datasphere - all the data that exists in the world - will explode as a function of metadata created by AI such as ChatGPT. Morningstar UK
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
ChatGPT declares that three years later in 2073, the world is almost entirely vegan, foreshadowing the animal agriculture industry completely collapsing in 2075, and any animal-related farming being obsolete. Plant Based News
Goldman Sachs economists put out a report in late November that AI platforms such as ChatGPT could eventually displace 300 million jobs around the globe - mostly professional jobs such as lawyers, accountants and administrative professionals. The Messenger
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
There is a fear of missing out among companies, S&P Global argues - that they might adopt too late what turns out to be a foundationally transformative technology - that is helping drive ChatGPT's rapid uptake. Engadget
There is a fear of missing out among companies, S&P Global argues - that they might adopt too late what turns out to be a foundationally transformative technology - that is helping drive ChatGPT's rapid uptake. Engadget
The advent of generative AI, which includes chatbots such as OpenAI's ChatGPT and Google's Bard, has triggered concern that the technology could replace jobs, leading governments around the world to scramble to understand AI tools and respond. The Washington Post
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Now Nasa engineers say they are developing their own ChatGPT-style interface that could ultimately allow astronauts to talk to their spacecraft and mission controllers to converse with artificial intelligence-powered robots exploring distant planets and moons. The Guardian
Ultimately, Gildenberg said AI innovations like ChatGPT will continue to be a big deal as the world becomes more digital. Modern Retail
Ultimately, a combined human-bot approach, offering customers the choice to speak to either a human agent or a chatbot powered by the likes of ChatGPT, will offer a 'best of both worlds' solution, helping businesses embed versatile communications into their day-to-day operations. Information Age
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
Tech advances fueled by generative A.I. such as ChatGPT could affect approximately 300 million jobs worldwide over the next decade, and that around two-thirds of US occupations are vulnerable. The University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Tech advances fueled by generative A.I. such as ChatGPT could affect approximately 300 million jobs worldwide over the next decade. The University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Questions
Can?
How can ChatGPT be integrated into existing business software? Addepto
Should generative AI become internet users' primary method of finding and metabolizing news, can the public rely on web-surfing tools like ChatGPT search not to muddy the information landscape at large? Yahoo News
Why rely on under-staffed and under-funded school systems to teach our children when the internet offers access to all the world's information, and tools like search engines, countless apps and ChatGPT that can guide them in the processing and use of it? ABC Religion & Ethics
How?
How do people interact with ChatGPT compared to traditional search engines like Google? Semrush
How much energy does it take to run ChatGPT? Planet Detroit
How are Claude AI and ChatGPT shaping the future of AI? Claude AI Hub
Who?
LLMs such as OpenAI's GPT-4, Google's Gemini, and Anthropic's Claude have become very popular among the general internet audience, especially when consumed via easy-to-use interfaces like ChatGPT for getting fast answers to queries such as Who is the first president of the U.S.? Dataversity
Who are the major competitors to ChatGPT in China? China Briefing News
What?
Two years on from the launch of ChatGPT what do we know about journalism in the new era of artificial intelligence? Press Gazette
ChatGPT technology has already had an important impact on education in today's world, so what kind of empowerment and impact will it have on the teaching and learning of foreign languages in Chinese colleges and universities? ACM Other conferences
ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude are all interesting tools, but what does the future hold for publishers and users? Search Engine Journal
When?
Might we see a more collaborative OpenAI freely sharing its research, only a week after the Chinese generative AI DeepSeek took a fish to the back of OpenAI's head when it overtook ChatGPT as the most downloaded free app on the Apple App Store? Vice
We hate when humans act like robots, so could artificial intelligence-based innovations like ChatGPT really provide customer service in a call center? The Financial Brand
For all of the hype around generative AI, when will consumers have a ChatGPT-like service within their financial services website and mobile app? Forbes
Will?
Will ChatGPT Search spell the end of traditional search engines like Google? Dataconomy
Will ChatGPT make the already troubling income and wealth inequality in the US and many other countries even worse, or could it in fact provide a much-needed boost to productivity? MIT Technology Review
AI moves Apple can make at WWDC to leapfrog the competition | ZDNET >> Will Siri Become More Like ChatGPT? Futureseek Link Digest
Shaping Tomorrow Foresight

Shaping Tomorrow is a full-service foresight and collective intelligence company, offering expert panels, deep-dives, workshops and keynote speeches in addition to its horizon scanning services. Feel free to contact us at any time. You can ask for telephone training and to discuss your needs. We value your ideas, comments, encouragement and criticisms.