ChatGPT

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

10 June 2023
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
RSS Feeds
Twitter Searches
Web Searches
Twitter Feeds
World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Threat actors are exploiting global interest in ChatGPT to lure the public into installing malware. MSSP Alert
The prospect of mass automation looms large, as a new report by Goldman Sachs economists reveals that up to 300 million full-time jobs worldwide could be affected by the latest wave of AI technology, including the likes of ChatGPT. Yahoo Finance
In the years ahead, generative AI including ChatGPT could disrupt - not necessarily replace - 300 million full-time jobs across the globe. Insider
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • The UK's data regulator issued a warning to tech companies about protecting personal information when developing and deploying large language, generative AI models, while Italy's data privacy regulator banned ChatGPT over alleged privacy violations. Computerworld
  • Even OpenAI, the developer of ChatGPT, concedes that AI systems will have ... great potential to reinforce entire ideologies, worldviews, truths and untruths, and to cement them or lock them in, foreclosing future contestation, reflection, and improvement. OpenGlobalRights
  • The surging popularity of AI, like OpenAI's ChatGPT, has sparked concern that false, artificially generated information will swamp the internet. thestar.com
Weaknesses
  • Since the start of the year, concerns about AI have morphed from more trivial ones - like students using chatbots like ChatGPT to write essays for them - to fears the tech might prove as dangerous as a pandemic or nuclear war. / UK NationalWorld
  • The Italian data protection regulator Garanta will investigate AI platforms after temporarily banning OpenAI's ChatGPT over privacy concerns. National Technology News
  • Last month, the Italian data protection regulator Garanta said it will investigate AI platforms after temporarily banning OpenAI's ChatGPT over privacy concerns. National Technology News
Opportunities
  • With ChatGPT, OpenAI's new AI-powered chatbot, the research field around Natural Language Processing has taken another quantum leap - and is expected to grow by $361.6 billion globally by 2030. Open Access Government
  • ChatGPT is an advanced AI chatbot created by OpenAI that shows potential for providing insights into the financial world. CoinCola Blog
  • Since the launch of OpenAI's ChatGPT last fall, generative AI that creates text and imagery from simple prompts triggered calls for regulation and fear of an existential threat to humanity, and continues to play a role in ongoing Hollywood writers union strikes. Wired
Threats
  • OpenAI warns users against trusting its generative AI chatbot, ChatGPT, prominently displaying a disclaimer that states, ChatGPT may produce inaccurate information about people, places, or facts. PYMNTS.com
  • More than 350 of the world's most distinguished experts in artificial intelligence, including the creator of ChatGPT, have warned of the possibility that the technology could lead to the extinction of humanity. The Times
  • With networking and security, Cisco's operational dashboards could feature a ChatGPT-like interface to identify and solve problems. SiliconANGLE
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
literature, quantum
Emerging
artificial intelligence, app, application, company, Web, actor
Maturing
economy
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Threat actors are exploiting global interest in ChatGPT to lure the public into installing malware. MSSP Alert
Rapid advances in AI and the surging popularity of chatbots such as ChatGPT have moved lawmakers across the globe to grapple with new AI risks. The Washington Post
PEST
Political
  • In the first half of 2023 alone, there have been scammers mimicking ChatGPT to steal user business credentials; attackers stealing Google Chrome cookies through malicious ChatGPT extensions; and phishing threat actors using ChatGPT as a lure for malicious websites. Dark Reading
  • While some malicious actors may deploy generative A.I. to disrupt U.S. elections and spread politically disruptive misinformation, less ambitious criminals are already using ChatGPT to level up online scam campaigns. Public Citizen
  • ChatGPT is threatened with bans across Europe. CIO
Economic
  • ChatGPT Plus subscribers will first get access, and it will be rolling out to free users soon by enabling a plugin with brings Bing to ChatGPT. My TechDecisions
  • Language models are already a gold rush for Silicon Valley: Before the corporate boom in multimodality, OpenAI reportedly expected $1 billion in revenue by 2024; multiple recent analyses predicted that ChatGPT will add tens of billions of dollars to Microsoft's annual revenue in a few years. The Atlantic
  • Assuming ChatGPT products will add $40 billion to 2028 revenue and Microsoft keeps growing from its other businesses at an 18% annual rate to $453 billion, ChatGPT would account for 9% of Microsoft's 2028 revenue. Forbes
Social
  • Google is declining to offer its Bard chatbot in the EU and Canada for unstated reasons - but it might have something to do with privacy investigations of ChatGPT underway in Italy, Germany, France, Spain and Canada. Axios
  • With networking and security, Cisco's operational dashboards could feature a ChatGPT-like interface to identify and solve problems. SiliconANGLE
  • Half of healthcare organizations plan to use ChatGPT for learning purposes, and that more than half are planning pilot cases in 2023. Mobihealthnews
Technological
  • The last several weeks alone have seen an AI-chatbot competition explode into public view as Microsoft announced a multi-billion dollar investment in ChatGPT's parent company that will see the technology hosted on Microsoft's Bing search engine. HIT Consultant Media
  • The vision for ChatGPT is to be a super smart assistant for work but there will be a lot of other GPT use-cases that OpenAI will not touch. Humanloop - the platform for Large Language Model appli
  • OpenAI warns users against trusting its generative AI chatbot, ChatGPT, prominently displaying a disclaimer that states, ChatGPT may produce inaccurate information about people, places, or facts. PYMNTS.com
Financial Impact
OpenAI's revenue is expected to reach $200 million by 2023 and $1 billion by 2024, mainly driven by ChatGPT. Bloggingio
ChatGPT and AI could be worth $150 billion in value to Microsoft alone. Insider
Nvidia, whose high-end chips are used to power the datacenters used by the new wave of generative AI products such as ChatGPT, could soon become the first chipmaker to be valued at more than $1 tn. The Guardian
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
People fear that AI systems like ChatGPT and other bots, and other online information and advising systems, can invade and even direct the worlds of youngsters and naively-trusting adults. Mind Matters
There's the concern that generative AI like ChatGPT could result in the loss of many jobs - as many as 300 million worldwide. MSN
Artificial intelligence chatbots have been taking the world by storm, with the capabilities of Microsoft's ChatGPT causing wonderment and fear in almost equal measure. Digital Trends
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
AI will be no different: to truly unlock the potential of ChatGPT, the world will need new and different kinds of organisations. Millennium Post
Japan's privacy watchdog said on Friday it has warned OpenAI, the Microsoft-backed startup behind the ChatGPT chatbot, not to collect sensitive data without people's permission. ThePrint
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
As many as 300 million full-time jobs in the world, including two-thirds of jobs in the U.S. and Europe, are at risk of being replaced in some way by generative artificial intelligence, the technology behind tools like ChatGPT. Observer
The revamping of Microsoft's second-place search engine could give the software giant a head start against other tech companies in capitalising on the worldwide excitement surrounding ChatGPT, a tool that's awakened millions of people to the possibilities of the latest AI technology. Euronews.com
The revamping of Microsoft's second-place search engine could give the software giant a head start against other tech companies in capitalizing on the worldwide excitement surrounding ChatGPT, a tool that's awakened millions of people to the possibilities of the latest AI technology. Twin Cities
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
ChatGPT could ultimately replace Google's search engine, which powers one of the biggest digital ad businesses in the world. Vox
Ultimately, Gildenberg said AI innovations like ChatGPT will continue to be a big deal as the world becomes more digital. Modern Retail
Ultimately, a combined human-bot approach, offering customers the choice to speak to either a human agent or a chatbot powered by the likes of ChatGPT, will offer a 'best of both worlds' solution, helping businesses embed versatile communications into their day-to-day operations. Information Age
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
One thing that is clear is that new technology, such as generative artificial intelligence tools like ChatGPT, promise to bring about massive changes in the coming years in ways we can not even yet imagine. Forbes
Globally, enterprises are already leveraging the power of foundation models (large AI models trained on unlabeled data) as OpenAI releases ChatGPT-4, Google launches Bard, Meta launches LLaMA in beta, and over 70% of organizations will be increasing their AI budgets within the next three years. insideBIGDATA
Questions
Can?
Can ChatGPT replace various employment functions, such as customer service, human resources (HR), administration, marketing, and recruiting? Practical Law The Journal
Can Artificial Intelligence like ChatGPT eventually supplant us because of its superior problem-solving ability, creating a world where we play second fiddle? Impakter
Can AI ChatGPT Help Leaders Revolutionize The Business Landscape? Allevents.in
How?
How concerned should HR be about AI apps such as ChatGPT and its competitors? HR Magazine
As the ChatGPT-fuelled AI zeitgeist sweeps through the world, how will it impact the world of SaaS? Together Fund
How will the advancement of ChatGPT play a role in the corporate structure as we move forward? Knowledge at Wharton
Who?
Who are the major competitors to ChatGPT in China? China Briefing News
What?
What are the opportunities, challenges & risks that #AI applications like ChatGPT pose to education systems globally? EdTechReview
The advent of content generation tools such as ChatGPT and Midjourney make it possible to, as John Cage advised, begin anywhere, by posing provocative what if? Design Council
Most people are making an account for ChatGPT, and what do they do with it? Knowledge at Wharton
When?
What ChatGPT means for developers - Will ChatGPT replace software developers, or will it make their jobs more enjoyable by doing the heavy lifting when it comes to writing boilerplate code, debugging and testing? Information Age
What happens when people start to believe language models and their interfaces like ChatGPT are not only 'like humans,' but that they reveal some hidden truth? Transport Times
In the age of AI and technology like ChatGPT, what are the one or two human skills most likely to be needed in the future when AI becomes even more widespread and powerful? ASCD
Will?
Will ChatGPT or an equivalent AI chatbot be able to produce text mimicking my personal style before 2024? Manifold Markets
Will a ChatGPT-comparable chatbot be available within China at the end of 2023? Manifold Markets
Despite the potential for vast productivity gains from generative AI tools such as ChatGPT or GitHub Copilot, will technology professionals' jobs actually grow more complicated? Communications of the ACM
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