Artificial Intelligence

A Future Prognosis

Kerry Richardson

10 June 2023
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
AI will sweep across the planet in less than a year, changing the patterns in the daily lives of us all. Infosecurity Magazine
Up to 375 million workers (14% of the global workforce) may need to switch occupations or acquire new skills by 2030 due to automation and AI technologies. Transport Times
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
  • Google has a new plan to help organizations apply basic security controls to their artificial intelligence systems and protect them from a new wave of cyber threats. Axios
  • In Germany, Hensoldt is a company with a strong foothold in military technology and AI potential. news|financial
  • Recognising the strength of the UK's AI expertise, US tech giant Palantir has today announced it will make the UK its new European HQ for AI development. GOV.UK
  • Since the start of the year, concerns about AI have morphed from more trivial ones - like students using chatbots like ChatGPT to write essays for them - to fears the tech might prove as dangerous as a pandemic or nuclear war. / UK NationalWorld
  • The Italian data protection regulator Garanta will investigate AI platforms after temporarily banning OpenAI's ChatGPT over privacy concerns. National Technology News
  • Last month, the Italian data protection regulator Garanta said it will investigate AI platforms after temporarily banning OpenAI's ChatGPT over privacy concerns. National Technology News
  • Middle East and African markets for generative AI remain in their infancy; however, interest and potential is growing steadily. Enterprise Apps Today
  • Researchers from MIT, the MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab, IBM Research, and elsewhere have developed a new technique for analyzing unlabeled audio and visual data that could improve the performance of machine-learning models used in applications like speech recognition and object detection. MIT News | Massachusetts Institute of Technology
  • From robotics and VR/AR to healthcare and automotive, the integration of haptics and AI has the potential to revolutionize the way we interact with technology and the world around us. CityLife
  • Cisco announced the Cisco Firewall 4200 Series, featuring AI and ML-based encrypted threat blocking without decryption, complete threat inspection and policy for each individual application and simplified branch routing. My TechDecisions
  • Announced at Cisco Live, the features - powered by large language models - come as Cisco is also bringing generative AI to its security tools to help augment security analysts and simplify policy management and threat response. My TechDecisions
  • Individual regulators would police the most high risk cases in their sector, rather than having an overarching AI regulator, as has been proposed elsewhere in the world. Tech Monitor

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

artificial intelligence, UAV, application, airplane, 3D, algorithm
artificial intelligence, application, 5G, algorithm, IT, GDP
artificial intelligence, data, GPS, agency, built, commercial
artificial intelligence, emission, IT, CO2, GIS, actor
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
AI will sweep across the planet in less than a year, changing the patterns in the daily lives of us all. Infosecurity Magazine
AI will replace 85 million jobs globally by 2025. Computerworld
  • Ongoing political divisions within Congress make it unlikely any AI-specific legislation will be passed before 2024's U.S. election. Politico
  • European lawmakers hope to adopt the final AI Act before the end of 2023, ahead of the European Parliament elections in 2024. Inside Tech Media
  • As the nature of operations evolves to include cyber warfare, artificial intelligence, and hypersonic weapons, and with China and Russia posing a global challenge to U.S. dominance, a shortage of capable recruits poses a significant national security threat. Independent Women's Forum
  • Marketers and brands stand to benefit from having a firm grasp on how virtual and AI-led marketing in China will develop through 2023. Jing Daily
  • Around 2026, AI-led disruption across sectors could add $500 billion to India's economy. forbesindia
  • ARK Invest on the Investment Potential of Blockchain, AI, and Web3. BeInCrypto
  • By 2024, 68% of security decision-makers plan to implement CRQ that uses AI and ML. Cyber Defense Magine
  • In acute ischaemic stroke (AIS), the most common stroke subtype, lack of perfusion quickly leads to death of brain cells and disruption of the BBB. OUP Academic
  • Mariners must be aware of the inherent limitations of and the risk of over-reliance on AIS in bridge watchkeeping and collision avoidance. Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide
  • 75% of Freelancers Are More Hopeful Than Fearful of AI Impacting Their Jobs, and Women See a Clear Advantage to Freelance Work over Traditional Employment. Fiverr
  • Several startups set out to build AI chips, but blue chip giants have also built their own ASICs in-house, e.g., Google’s tensor processing unit (TPU) or Apple’s neural processing unit (NPU). Startups Shaping the Future of Computing
  • Google's AI will speed up marketing for trending destinations. Reuters
Financial Impact
Global spending on AI and IoT will reach $1.1 trillion in 2023. IoT For All
Global spending on AI and IoT will reach $1.1 trillion in 2023. IoT For All
Nvidia has become the first chip manufacturer to be valued at $1 trillion as investors pile into the Silicon Valley company amid expectations that it will be a big winner from the boom in artificial intelligence. The Times
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System Map
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
One billion people in the global workforce will have to be retrained and upskilled by the end of the decade, due to the emergence of Artificial Intelligence. The Irish Times
If AI is adopted broadly, one estimate is that 15-30% of workers, or 400M people worldwide, could lose their jobs by 2030. Automation Anywhere
By 2025, AI will automate 75 million jobs worldwide, generating 133 million new jobs. WAM
Changing proportion of published forecasts
Artificial intelligence could displace roughly 15% of workers, or 400 million people, worldwide between 2016 and 2030. ABC News
One potential risk is the possibility of AI being used to automate tasks, which could lead to job displacement - a McKinsey Global Institute study found that by 2030, between 400 million and 800 million employees around the world could be displaced by automation. Forbes
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
In 2019, Oxford Economics wrote a report forecasting that, by 2030, AI could replace up to 20 million manufacturing jobs worldwide. OnlinePMCourses
The greatest engineering challenge of the coming decade is the biggest looming opportunity; how to harness the power of artificial intelligence software to reshape the world of manufacturing. 3D Printing Industry
The Future of Jobs Report published by the World Economic Forum in 2022, states that AI is likely to replace 85 million jobs globally by 2025. Emeritus
Key topics
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
AI is an extremely powerful tool which, if reserved to just a few large companies, has the potential to hypercharge global inequality. Tech Monitor
Solving the world's most intractable problems - reversing climate change, for instance - will ultimately require combining supercomputers, artificial intelligence, and quantum computing. The Register
When refined through analytics, machine learning and artificial intelligence data have the potential to transform businesses and ultimately the global economy. Entrepreneur
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
AI and digital technology will transform the world in dramatic ways in the coming years. AmCham Belgium
In the coming years, at the pace that AI is advancing, it will surely bring a paradigm shift in the world of conversational commerce. Analytics India Magazine
How can generative AI contribute to software development? Enterprise Apps Today
How can the average business keep up with what the tsunami of change unleashed by hyperscale cloud and access to the latest AI tools? Asia News Center
How can AI be integrated into public services in a manner that increases efficiency while safeguarding rights and safety? The National Law Review
How can we prepare for AI-induced workforce instability in the United States and around the world? The National Law Review
How can AI be harnessed to stimulate economic growth and productivity? The National Law Review
How can AI be used to strengthen civic engagement, and how can AI's threats to democracy be mitigated? The National Law Review
How do people in the workplace who have a front-row seat for the AI revolution feel about the technology sweeping across the corporate landscape? BCG Global
Are the creators of the AI responsible for creating the tool that's used to infringe copyright, or is it the people who are actually using that to infringe on copyright? Cointelegraph Magazine
Who really benefits from the AI rush? MIT Technology Review
What regulatory and technological frameworks should be put in place to protect civil rights and national security from AI? The National Law Review
What are the cybersecurity elements to allow people to be able to leverage the power of genuine AI safely? Nextgov
What if instead of substituting for human connections that people are lacking, AI chatbots could connect lonely people to each other in an attempt to foster personal connections? Yahoo News
Taken altogether, why should we worry about some far-flung threat of a superintelligent AI when its creators - an insular network of libertarians building digital plantations, surveillance platforms, and killing machines - exist here and now? The Nation
What are the ethical concerns when using AI in managerial accounting? Science Direct
Where and when transparency will be most critical and valuable to mitigate potential AI risks and to improve public trust and confidence in AI? Cornwalls
Over a period of years, there will be a confusing scramble of thousands of private evaluations along the lines of What's the impact of AI regulation on my business? The Hill
How will AI change the way we consume and work in media? IAB Tech Lab
What will stop AI from flooding the internet with fake images? Caveman Circus
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