Crypto

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

11 February 2025
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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Web Searches
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Projections of $3 million, $13 million, or even $45 million by 2045 have already been floated, driven by Bitcoin's role as a hedge against global debt and inflation. CCN.com
Bitcoin hit a fresh high of almost $95,000 on Wednesday, with many traders betting that the world's biggest cryptocurrency will hit $100,000 before the end of 2024. Peter Lewis' Money Talk
Regardless of whether digital currencies achieve mainstream adoption in 2024 or 2025, the proliferation of Bitcoin ETFs signals a significant step towards broader acceptance and integration within the global financial system. FinancialExpress
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • If Ripple wins its case, it could set a precedent that other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum or Bitcoin, may not necessarily be classified as securities either, paving the way for a more predictable regulatory framework for the entire industry. / USA market
  • By 2030, the crypto markets are expected to have gained significant maturity, leading to a more stable performance. crypto.ro
  • In another positive development, US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds saw inflows totaling $5 billion in January, a strong start that could push them toward $50 billion or more by the end of the year. cryptonews
Weaknesses
  • If more nations embrace crypto reserves, XRP's role in global finance could expand; however, regulatory uncertainty and centralization concerns remain obstacles. CCN.com
  • France: Non-disclosure of crypto holdings in foreign accounts could result in fines of up to €1,500 per undisclosed account, with increased penalties for higher amounts. Cryptowisser
  • Factors such as increasing global adoption, favorable regulations, and Bitcoin's role as a hedge against inflation are expected to propel its value higher. The Currency Analytics
Opportunities
  • As US President Donald Trump moved to impose new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China this past week, Bitcoin prices fell to around $91,500 amidst fears of a global trade war. Bitcoinist.com
  • The Czech Republic will exempt Bitcoin and other digital assets from capital gains tax for holdings kept longer than three years, following President Petr Pavel's signing of new legislation that aligns crypto taxation with traditional securities. Crypto Briefing
  • The Czech Republic will exempt Bitcoin from capital gains tax if held for more than three years. Crypto Briefing
Threats
  • Fears of an escalating trade war are weighing on Bitcoin and other risk assets after the U.S. imposed tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico, prompting retaliation from Canada. Kaiko Research
  • In 2029, Bitcoin is expected to break the $400,000 mark, reaching as high as $459,368. The Currency Analytics
  • From FY 2025-26, the definition of virtual digital assets will be expanded to include any crypto asset utilizing cryptographic and distributed ledger technology for transaction validation and security. TaxGuru
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
crypto, bitcoin, computer, asset, attack, application
Emerging
bitcoin, crypto, asset, blockchain, bank, artificial intelligence
Maturing
crypto, asset, price, bank, bitcoin, application
Declining
crypto, bitcoin, asset, bank, company, carbon
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Crypto is not only a financial asset, but a technological and social phenomenon that could transform the world in the coming years. Coinpedia Blockchain Fintech News
Raising crypto prices combined with energy inefficient equipment would result in electricity use exceeding 2% of global electricity consumption by 2027, and eventually falling to slightly above 1% by 2035. IMF eLibrary
PEST
Political
  • Bitcoin could reach $1 million and be adopted by more governments. Crypto Briefing
  • India and China's policies may evolve, potentially opening opportunities for crypto growth. market
  • Countries like Japan, Singapore, and the UAE will continue to drive XRP and Ethereum adoption. market
Economic
  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) paints a concerning picture - by 2027, crypto mining might account for 0.7% of all global carbon emissions. BNO News
  • Bitcoin could reach $1 million, viewing it as a revolutionary financial paradigm that can reshape the global economy. Crypto Briefing
  • Bitcoin could reset to zero within a decade. investing.com
Social
  • If all the shorts also need to be covered when people start getting more excited about a possible US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, we could see another explosive move from up to the upper end of the fair value range at around $1000. MicroStrategist Blog
  • With a unique focus on advanced encryption techniques, QDX aims to address security concerns that could affect the crypto industry in the coming years. Brave New Coin
  • The top performers in the crypto space will face competition from Cardano blockchain. 101 Blockchains
Technological
  • In the United States, President Trump's incoming administration is expected to streamline compliance requirements for crypto businesses, encourage the adoption of blockchain technology across industries, and invest in a strategic bitcoin reserve. City AM
  • Global interest in crypto reserves is growing, and the US decision on XRP could set a precedent for digital asset adoption in finance. CCN.com
  • The US president wants to support stablecoins rather than issue a digital dollar, and plans to create a strategic bitcoin reserve. Le Monde
Financial Impact
Bitcoin could reach nearly $250,000 in 2025 as half a trillion dollars of new capital flows in. CoinTelegraph
The future value of a single Bitcoin could reach approximately $10 million, based on the global household wealth ranging from $100 to $300 trillion. Bitcoin Perfect
The U.S. debt load is about to ramp up to add $1 trillion every 100 days - potentially fueling a bitcoin price surge - and could reach $36 trillion by the end of 2024. Forbes
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
Projections of $3 million, $13 million, or even $45 million by 2045 have already been floated, driven by Bitcoin's role as a hedge against global debt and inflation. CCN.com
By 2025, crypto crime will cost the world $30 billion annually. The Tech Report
Imagine a global logistics company that wants to track its shipments on the Ethereum blockchain but needs real-time payments made via Ripple. TronWeekly
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
Former German Finance Minister Christian Lindner urged the ECB and the Bundesbank to consider bitcoin as a reserve asset, warning that Europe cannot afford to stay behind in the global cryptocurrency debate. investing.com
If Trump's call for a bitcoin reserve were implemented, it could undermine the U.S. dollar's status as the world's reserve currency, potentially leading to economic instability and hyperinflation. The Intellectual Investor
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
Global regulatory developments will pave the way toward mainstream crypto adoption in 2025. TronWeekly
Regulatory clarity is set to unlock crypto's full potential, fostering global adoption and new asset classes. TronWeekly
Imagine a world where Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana can seamlessly interact without the need for cumbersome bridges or third-party solutions. The Crypto Times
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
By 2050, we see bitcoin solidifying its position as a key international medium of exchange, ultimately becoming one of the world's reserve currencies. Bitcoin 2050 Valuation Scenarios: Global Medium of Exch
Price Volatility: Bitcoin's extreme price fluctuations could lead to instability in US reserves, potentially affecting the broader economy. PMF IAS
MiCA's impact will ultimately shape not only the European crypto landscape but could also redefine global standards, prompting other regions to adopt their own regulatory frameworks to retain or attract blockchain innovation. Techreport
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
As the global regulatory environment matures and technological breakthroughs advance, the crypto industry is poised to unlock greater growth opportunities in the coming years. HTX Square - Ultimate Resource for News Related to HTX
We could see the introduction of global crypto standards in the next five years. investing.com
Questions
Can?
Can Quantum Computing Unlock Lost Bitcoin Wallets? CryptoNinjas
How can AI crypto-interested companies benefit from SoluLab's services? Blockchain Technology, Mobility, AI and IoT Development
Can Quantum Technology Make Crypto Mining More Energy Efficient? Techiexpert.com
How?
How is the Global Bitcoin Market expected to evolve by 2030? Crypto Reporter
How Layer-2 Solutions Are Revolutionizing Bitcoin and Ethereum Scalability? CCN.com
How Will the Trump Administration Regulate Digital Assets Like Crypto? Knowledge at Wharton
Who?
Who Owns the Most Government Bitcoin Holdings in 2025? Coinpedia Fintech News
Putin emphasized the advantage of decentralization, asserting, Who can ban Bitcoin? cryptonews
If Bitcoin's advocates have their way, who will be the next group of politically influential and self-interested investors to propose government hoarding of their favorite asset? Money, Banking and Financial Markets
What?
What does the future of crypto ETFs look like, and what factors could shape their development? market
What are the risks of investing in Ethereum? Rivalry
What Will the Price of Bitcoin Be in 2035? StealthEX
When?
When Ethereum will pump like Bitcoin? Buzzsprout
Futures trading is becoming increasingly common in crypto exchanges - and why should not it be when it's already a staple in traditional finance? BitDegree
Which one packs more punch when it comes to making transactions faster, reducing gas fees, and offering a seamless user experience on the Ethereum network? BeInCrypto
Will?
Will Donald Trump Create The US Bitcoin Reserve? Coingape
Will we see more states follow New Mexico's lead, or will Bitcoin's volatility ultimately limit its role in public finance? The Currency Analytics
Ethereum and XRP serve different purposes, but can they coexist, or will they compete for dominance? market
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