Quantum

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

14 July 2024
Introduction
This set of automatically curated slides provides an instant overview about possible futures to help inform present day strategy, and for you to act on opportunities and risks and mitigate threats in a timely manner. Learn more.

You can also

If you'd like to create your own set of slides like these, just search for your topic of interest and then click "Publish".
Contents
User Guide
Click on the blue source names to view the original evidence.
Click on the donut charts or use the selection options below to change views.
Click on words in the clouds to view more details about it.
Press "F" for full-screen
Press "Esc" for overview
Sources
RSS Feeds
Twitter Searches
Web Searches
Twitter Feeds
World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
By 2047, XR would undergo further transformations with holographic displays and light-field displays, neural interfaces, quantum computing, decentralised platforms, and enhanced global collaboration. BusinessLine
There is a fundamental research challenge around energy use in the face of an energy crisis and climate change; it is estimated that 21% of the world's overall energy usage by 2030 will be computing power alone, yet technologies in AI, cloud, and quantum are inherently power-hungry. Forbes
The power of quantum computers could transform the world on a massive scale. UC Today
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Quantum supremacy could be accessible in the next 5 to 10 years. UC Today
  • The UK has a strong global reputation in each domain, and quantum computing is expected to accelerate development in the coming years. PR Newswire
  • In 2024, we will see increased investment in quantum research and the development of practical applications to protect sensitive data and secure digital infrastructures. Accelare
Weaknesses
  • Fujitsu Australia Limited and The Australian National University in Canberra concluded a memorandum of understanding to ensure that industry and government professionals, researchers, academics, and students in Australia will soon have access to a world-class quantum research facility. TradingView
  • The limits for malicious use are unending; for instance, encrypted data on the inner workings of a nuclear facility stolen in 2024 would still be relevant and exploitable in 2030 when a quantum computer can decrypt it. Help Net Security
  • Azure Quantum opens potential for breakthrough hybrid quantum + generative AI modeling once fault tolerant quantum hardware matures by 2026. IT Consulting Services
Opportunities
  • IQM's commercial quantum computers include Finland's ongoing commercial 50-qubit quantum computer co-development project with VTT, IQM-led consortium's (Q-Exa) HPC quantum accelerator in Germany, and IQM processors will also be used in the first quantum accelerator in Spain. HPCwire
  • A$ 466 million will advance Australia's quantum computing capabilities. Proactiveinvestors UK
  • The first fully error-coded quantum computers might start rolling out in 2030. UC Today
Threats
  • Next-level quantum computers could potentially overpower the encryption protocols we use for virtually every form of security. UC Today
  • There are about five Huoyan-1 early warning satellites, and China is testing a quantum-enabled communications satellite that could lead to virtually unbreakable communications. Defense News
  • Quantum computing is expected to enable computers to handle complex procurement tasks with ease, offer unmatched data security, perform risk analysis, and manage large, global supply chains more efficiently. SAP Community
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
computer, quantum, application, algorithm, artificial intelligence, quantum computing
Emerging
artificial intelligence, 5G, market, application, computer, algorithm
Maturing
quantum, commercial, copper, enterprise, GDP, LCD
Declining
bank, asset, catalyst, coal, copper, market
Sentiment
Past Year: More Positive
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
By 2047, XR would undergo further transformations with holographic displays and light-field displays, neural interfaces, quantum computing, decentralised platforms, and enhanced global collaboration. BusinessLine
The designation of 2025 as the International Year of Quantum Science and Technology by the United Nations signifies a pivotal moment for global scientific collaboration and public engagement. Optimize IAS
PEST
Political
  • The nations that lead in quantum development and commercialization will reap a global strategic advantage. Nextgov/FCW
  • U.S. military researchers will brief industry in June on several upcoming microelectronics technologies projects concerning photonic, quantum, and organic circuits; sustainable microsystem manufacturing; and commercial scaling with military-only capabilities. Military Aerospace
  • Talent: A National Quantum Scholarships Scheme will be funded under the National Quantum Strategy to develop a pipeline of up to 100 PhD and 100 Master-level quantum talent over the next five years to meet Singapore's research and industry needs and build a quantum-ready workforce. Infocomm Media Development Authority
Economic
  • In terms of financial forecasts, D-Wave Quantum's revenue may grow by 46.02% in 2024 to $12.79 million, and by 101.46% in 2025 to $25.76 million. Yahoo Finance
  • The quantum industry could add thousands of jobs to Colorado over the next decade. CU Boulder Today
  • Midnight Sun is entering a new phase of exploration which will have us drilling aggressively on both a Lumwana analog at Dumbwa with KoBold Metals, and on two oxide-copper targets at Kazhiba and Mitu with First Quantum. Junior Mining Network
Social
  • An intelligent alien civilization could beam quantum messages to Earth.
  • The research teams will leverage high performance and quantum computing to advance life sciences, with the goal of improving healthcare and accelerating new treatments for patients around the world. Cleveland Clinic
  • With a strong foundation, a highly skilled team, and the support of Innovate UK, Infleqtion UK is well-positioned to drive innovation and deliver groundbreaking solutions that will transform the field of PNT and quantum-enabled systems. PR Newswire
Technological
  • The UK government has committed to build an accessible, UK-based quantum computer capable of running one trillion operations by 2035. insideHPC
  • Quantum error correction technology company Riverlane has released a three-year roadmap for its quantum error correction stack, Deltaflow, starting in 2024 and culminating in a system where quantum computers can run one million (Mega) error-free Quantum Operations by 2026. insideHPC
  • As we accelerate quantum computing, the Hartree Centre and the UK quantum ecosystem will be on the forefront of building solutions powered by quantum computers at scale. PR Newswire
Financial Impact
The quantum sector is expected to create between $600 billion and $1.1 trillion in economic value globally in the next 30 years. The Straits Times
Quantum computing alone could account for $1.3 trillion in value by 2035. The Week
McKinsey estimates that the four industries likely to capitalize most significantly on advances in quantum-automotive, chemical, financial services, and life sciences-may increase $1.3 trillion in value by 2035 by integrating quantum computing into business analysis and decisions. / USA Default
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
The global adoption of quantum computing - and the discovery of quantum advantage - will require a combination of leading quantum hardware alongside a robust and performant software stack to run workloads. IBM Newsroom
SEALSQ's post-quantum semiconductor technologies provide a 'root of trust' - a reliable foundation for secure computing and transaction verification in a world threatened by quantum computing capabilities. Yahoo Finance
China Telecom Quantum Group plans to collaborate with QuantumCTek to utilize Xiaohong in a new quantum computing cloud platform, enhancing global access to advanced quantum computing resources. Inside Quantum Technology
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
A Scotiabank report forecasts Cobre Panama's copper output in 2024 to represent about 1.6% of global supply and warned an indefinite shutdown increases risks of First Quantum potentially defaulting by the third quarter of 2024, and threaten its liquidity by early 2025. Insurance Journal
Government and Standards organizations worldwide are preparing for the possibility that large scale quantum computers, which can threaten the security of currently deployed encryption systems, could become a reality within the next decade or so. Monash University
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
Quantum computing has tremendous potential to change the world by solving many previously unsolvable problems. ACM SIGCAS Computers and Society
A well-functioning quantum simulator - a specific type of quantum computer - could lead to new discoveries about how the world works at the smallest scales. ScienceDaily
A well-functioning quantum simulator - a specific type of quantum computer - could lead to new discoveries about how the world works at the smallest scales. ScienceDaily
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Solving the world's most intractable problems - reversing climate change, for instance - will ultimately require combining supercomputers, artificial intelligence, and quantum computing. The Register
SQC recently delivered the world's first integrated circuit built at the atomic scale, is on track to build a commercial quantum device by 2028, and has the ultimate goal of delivering useful commercial quantum computing solutions. Transport Times
Quantum computers hold the promise of being able to quickly solve extremely complex problems that might take the world's most powerful supercomputer decades to crack. MIT News | Massachusetts Institute of Technology
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
Over the next few years, enterprises across the world will be investing to upskill talent and prepare their organizations for the arrival of quantum computing. IBM Blog
Public key infrastructure, TLS encryption, browsers and code signing are the four essential areas where we will see greater interest in post-quantum cryptography in the coming year, not just in terms of mitigating risk, but as a business differentiator too. SME MAGAZIZNE
Questions
Can?
Can quantum computing be harnessed to engineer biology? SINERGY, Singapore Consortium for Synthetic Biology
Can the Quantum Fusion processor deliver on its promise of enhanced performance and energy efficiency compared to existing smartphone processors? Smartphone Magazine
How Can Cities, Industry, Academia, and Policymakers Collaborate to Implement Quantum Sensing? Quantum Zeitgeist
How?
How might quantum sensors better missile defence? Mobility Foresights
How will the integration of AI and quantum computing impact industries like healthcare, finance, and cybersecurity? elblog.pl
How will 'quantum-secure' communication technologies develop in future? Tech Xplore
Who?
Who will have access to quantum cloud computing, and when? IPWatchdog.com | Patents & Intellectual Property La
Who are some of the key players in the quantum computing market? TMC NEWS
Who are the players in the quantum computing in drug discovery services market? TMC NEWS
What?
What if scientists could leverage the advantages of quantum physics to uncover data about complex systems that happened in the past? phys.org
What are the ethical implications of using AI in conjunction with quantum computing? elblog.pl
What are the benchmarks that predict whether tomorrow's quantum computers will be truly revolutionary? Department of Physics
When?
When will we enjoy the benefits of quantum computing? haaretz.com
Is this the year when quantum moves out of the very low-temperature, purpose-built lab and into a typical data center? BusinessToday
Why is Apple already talking "post-quantum" when quantum computing is only in its infancy and no powerful, fully programmable quantum computers yet exist? Tech Xplore
Will?
What industries will benefit the most from quantum computing? AliTech Solutions
What role will emerging technologies like quantum computing and edge computing play in reshaping the future landscape of software markets? elblog.pl
How will quantum impact the biotech industry? IBM Blog
Shaping Tomorrow Foresight

Shaping Tomorrow is a full-service foresight and collective intelligence company, offering expert panels, deep-dives, workshops and keynote speeches in addition to its horizon scanning services. Feel free to contact us at any time. You can ask for telephone training and to discuss your needs. We value your ideas, comments, encouragement and criticisms.