Quantum

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

14 August 2022
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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Web Searches
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Other countries are prioritizing quantum information sciences - France aspires to be one of the world's leaders in quantum and supports the European Union's Digital Compass project to produce its first domestic quantum computer by 2025. Global Policy Journal
France aspires to become one of the world's leaders in quantum and supports the European Union's Digital Compass project to produce its first quantum computer by 2025. CSIS
The efforts of industry and the NQTP NQTP could see the UK could have one of the world's first general purpose quantum computers by the 2030s. GOV.UK
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • In the U.S. government's ongoing campaign to protect data in the age of quantum computers, a new and powerful attack that used a single traditional computer to completely break a fourth-round candidate highlights the risks involved in standardizing the next generation of encryption algorithms. Wired
  • QuiX Quantum will play a vital role in the adoption of quantum computing because of its scalability and stable plug and play systems. Semiconductor Engineering
  • In the US government's ongoing campaign to protect data in the age of quantum computers, a new and powerful attack that used a single traditional computer to completely break a fourth-round candidate highlights the risks involved in standardizing the next generation of encryption algorithms. Ars Technica
Weaknesses
  • More direct threats are present in the form of an unhackable quantum satellite, tested ASAT capabilities, and even payloads designed to manipulate and surveil US satellites 7. Small Wars Journal
  • Squeeze No. 1 with more than a million times the pressure of Earth's atmosphere, and it might transform into quantum matter. Popular Science
  • As an example, Google's quantum computer could only operate for 50 microseconds before essentially failing. / USA Information Technology and Innovation Foundation
Opportunities
  • In February, IBM announced - in partnership with the Government of Quebec - it will accelerate discovery in artificial intelligence, semiconductors, high-performance computing and quantum computing, including installation of the first IBM Quantum System One in Canada. ottawacitizen
  • The world is waiting for the first quantum computers, which are expected to revolutionize computing. Rand Corporation
  • A quantum leap will be in the next two to three years for Metaverse and VR adoption. CoinTelegraph
Threats
  • By breaking that encryption, quantum computing could jeopardize secure communications, financial transactions, and the support system for the global economy. Rand Corporation
  • Recent research showed quantum computers may break RSA2048 by 2035. Harvard Technology Review
  • Some of the industries that now face the biggest threat of IP theft from China - such as energy, aerospace defense technology and quantum computing - are already well aware of it, now the founder of cybersecurity research lab CTM Insights. protocol
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
computer, quantum, application, artificial intelligence, company, algorithm
Emerging
artificial intelligence, 5G, market, computer, algorithm, application
Maturing
quantum, LED, capacity, capital, collaborate, copper
Declining
catalyst, market
Sentiment
Past Year: More Negative
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Other countries are prioritizing quantum information sciences - France aspires to be one of the world's leaders in quantum and supports the European Union's Digital Compass project to produce its first domestic quantum computer by 2025. Global Policy Journal
The efforts of industry and the NQTP could see the UK could have one of the world's first general purpose quantum computers by the 2030s. UK Government
PEST
Political
  • Sandbox and the Quantum Alliance Initiative, a consortium of companies and universities, are working with regulatory agencies to help address the vulnerabilities of today's situation and chart a roadmap to better protection. PYMNTS.com
  • Australia's vision for the quantum industry will be set out in the National Quantum Strategy. Department of Industry, Science, Energy and Resources
  • Governments and companies globally will invest nearly $16.4 billion in quantum development by the end of 2027. CNA
Economic
  • An essential insight came when the Princeton team calculated and understood that certain quantum materials such as Co 2 MnGa could host multiple Weyl loops at the same time. phys.org
  • With colleges like Harvard and Yale University spawning off companies, many big names are located on the east coast of the U.S. Chicago, as we will see, has recently become a major hub for quantum activity, thanks mainly to the Chicago Quantum Exchange. LinkedIn
  • German startup Marvel Fusion aims to build a Quantum-enhanced fusion reactor, Zurich-based Synhelion has found a way to turn sunlight into plane fuel: SWISS plans to begin using it in 2023. DLD News
Social
  • HSBC will work alongside The European NEASQC (Next Applications of Quantum Computing) project to develop practical use cases in fields as diverse as drug discovery, breast cancer detection, carbon capture and energy infrastructure risk assessments. The Quantum Insider
  • By 2025, we will have effectively removed the main boundaries in the way of scaling quantum processors up with modular quantum hardware and the accompanying control electronics and cryogenic infrastructure. ComputerWeekly.com
  • A cryptanalytically relevant quantum computer could jeopardize civilian and military communications as well as undermine supervisory and control systems for critical infrastructure. / USA National Security Agency/Central Security Service
Technological
  • As a leading technological power in Europe, France could provide value to the emerging technology aspects of AUKUS, particularly in the quantum, space, and cyber realms. War on the Rocks
  • In the coming years the Internet will move to post-quantum cryptography. The Cloudflare Blog
  • The Singapore government announced on Tuesday that it will set aside SG $23.5 million (17.09 million) to support three national platforms under its Quantum Engineering Programme for a period of up to 3.5 years. CySecurity News - Latest Information Security and Hacki
Financial Impact
McKinsey predicts the value of potential of quantum-computing use cases at full scale by 2035 will be greater than $1 trillion. Dark Reading
Four industries-pharmaceuticals, chemicals, automotive, and finance - are projected to be the first beneficiaries of quantum advantages, with the potential to capture nearly $700 billion in value as early as 2035. JD Supra
Quantum computing could create up to $850bn of value globally over the next 15-30 years - but Europe is in danger of falling behind the US and China, warns a new report from Boston Consulting Group. Sifted
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
In the worst-case scenario, an irresponsible pioneer in quantum computing could break into the systems of governments, enterprises, or global organizations and wreak pure havoc. Built In
Quantum processors are in motion to cross the 1,000-qubit mark in 2023, allowing quantum computers to transcend the world's best supercomputers. Transport Times
The Quantum World Congress will spotlight the transformational impact that quantum science and technology will have across global industry, government, and society. Quantum World Congress
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
A research team with Denmark's University of Copenhagen has designed the world's first quantum computing system that allows for simultaneous operation of all its qubits without threatening quantum coherence. Tom's Hardware
The advent of the world's first practical quantum computer will render today's conventional public key encrypted infrastructures unsecure, making sensitive information vulnerable across governments', defence agencies', and businesses' public and private networks. Voxy
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
A pathway towards a proof-of-concept contributing quantum computing solutions to global problems - for example, modelling climate change or finding new materials to use in the energy transition - leads to a future where quantum computing will become a necessary part of all computing frameworks. World Economic Forum
The White House has announced a set of proposals for keeping the US ahead in the quantum computing race globally, while mitigating the risk of quantum computers that can break public-key cryptography. ZDNet
Scientists worldwide are racing to develop a new kind of computer based on the use of quantum bits, or qubits, which can simultaneously be 0 and 1 and could one day solve complex problems beyond any classical supercomputers. phys.org
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Demand for the world's first utility-scale quantum computers will be extreme. PsiQuantum
Quantum computing power could, among other things, disrupt worldwide healthcare by enabling the extremely rapid development of vaccines and drugs. Richard van Hooijdonk Blog
The PNR envisages a new National Institute for Quantum Technologies, that would ultimately become part of a European network of National Institutes for Quantum Technologies, co-funded by the European Commission. / Italy Nature Medicine
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
Given the world we live in today, it is nearly impossible to believe that quantum computing at full power will be procured in the next five years or so. Medium
A Cryptographically Relevant Quantum Computer - a quantum computer that can break current cryptography and expose the world's encrypted communications and data - will be available within the next three to five years. Betanews
Questions
Can?
Which encryption tools can withstand a quantum computer attack? TechCentral.ie
How can quantum technology help insurers? The Journal Magazine
What is the potential of the platform economy in India; what is the quantum of livelihoods it can unlock in the years to come? Niti Aayog
How?
How will governments implement quantum computing as part of their economic growth strategies? ottawacitizen
Just how much computing power does the chemical industry need for quantum computing to take hold? Proxet
How will quantum technology affect the future of data encryption? Technology Solutions That Drive Government
Who?
Who is winning the race to build a practical quantum computer? Fact Based Insight
Who is going to win the quantum computing race? ZDNet
Who Are the Global Key Players in This Quantum Computing Market? MarketWatch
What?
Hackers might not be able to crack classical encryption algorithms today, but what will happen when they get their hands on a powerful quantum computer? Cybercrime Magazine
What are some of the main trends around quantum computing development? Betanews
What are some of the barriers holding America back from tapping into the full power of emerging tech like AI and quantum computing? meritalk
When?
Why is the need for action now when we know quantum computers are years away? Betanews
CEO and co-founder of Israeli-based, Quantum Machines, Itamar Sivan told Physics Today that he has no doubt that quantum computing will become influential and its ultimately a question of When? Immortality Medicine
What happens when quantum computers become reality? CFA Institute Enterprising Investor
Will?
WIll the banking and finance industry's macro analysts utilize the greater capacity of a hybrid system, or wait until quantum computing matures? Proxet
Will quantum computing take the place of crypto in terms of the fintech zeitgeist? Finovate
Why does Lou believe quantum technology will change the world? Tacoma Daily Index
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