Global Scans · Turkey · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: Uncertainties over Turkey's eventual political position abound. With EU decisions in doubt, recent crackdown on opposition parties causing concerns, and being embroiled in complex Middle East politics and fighting terrorism on its borders and internally, which way will she swing?

• [New] Turkey will play an important role not only regionally but also globally in shaping the future of aviation. Turkiye Today
• [New] Fitch Ratings has raised its 2025 growth forecast for Turkey to 3.5% from 2.9%, following stronger-than-expected economic performance in the second quarter of the year. hurriyetdailynews.com
• [New] Based on current monthly trends, year-end inflation is expected to slow to 28% in 2025, 21% in 2026, and 19% in 2027. / Turkey hurriyetdailynews.com
• [New] The Turkish economy will grow by 3.5% in 2026 and accelerate to 4.2% in 2027. hurriyetdailynews.com
• [New] On the central bank front, Turkey's TCMB and Russia's Bank Rossiya are expected to cut rates by a further 200 bps to 41.0% and 16.0% respectively, as they continue to dial back previous aggressive rate hikes to counter inflation pressures. ADMISI
• [New] The MTP's emphasis on digitalization - such as expanding broadband access and fostering tech startups - could position Turkey as a regional innovation hub. Ainvest
• [New] Beyond macroeconomic stabilization, the MTP's structural reforms are critical for unlocking Turkey's growth potential. Ainvest
• [New] The MTP's success will depend on the CBRT's ability to anchor inflation expectations and avoid political interference, a historical challenge in Turkey's economic governance. Ainvest
• [New] Turkey will continue to run a significant trade deficit under the MTP's projections, with the import-export gap widening to above $100 billion by 2028. AGBI
• [New] Turkey's hardline position against the SDF will complicate negotiations even if the SDF and transitional government come to an agreement with US mediation. Critical Threats
• [New] The SDF is unlikely to relinquish demands for security guarantees from the transitional government due to fear of ethnic cleansing by Turkey and Turkish-backed groups that have integrated into the Syrian MoD. Critical Threats
• [New] Pro-Erdogan Turkish politicians have continued to threaten military action against the SDF by Ankara and Damascus to pressure the SDF to integrate into the Syrian state. Critical Threats
• [New] Turkey's auction will offer 11 frequency blocks in the 700 MHz and 3.5 GHz bands, with a minimum total value of $2.1 billion reuters.com - finally putting Turkey on the 5G map (until now it has only had enhanced 4G 4.5G networks). TS2 Space
• [New] With 5G, Turkish users can anticipate dramatically higher mobile data speeds (theoretically 1 Gbps +), lower latency for applications like mobile gaming and AR/VR, and network capacity that can handle more simultaneous streaming and smart devices. TS2 Space
• [New] Turkey's auction will offer 11 frequency blocks in the 700 MHz and 3.5 GHz bands, with a total minimum value of $2.1 billion ts2. TS2 Space
• [New] Turkey reportedly plans to avoid providing any weapons that could provoke Israel given existing tensions. Eurasia Review
• [New] Turkish and Israeli officials have taken deconfliction steps to reduce the continuing potential for military confrontation. Eurasia Review
• [New] Turkey has sought to partner with Syria's interim government, as well as Jordan, Iraq, and Lebanon, to establish a multilateral counter-IS mechanism that Turkey hopes could replace the U.S.-led coalition (and the U.S.-SDF partnership). Eurasia Review
• [New] Turkey and Azerbaijan continue to push for a controversial so-called corridor linking mainland Azerbaijan to its exclave Nakhichevan through Armenia's Syunik region - a plan widely condemned in Armenia as a direct threat to its territorial integrity. ZARTONK | Homeland Meets Diaspora | Latest Armenian New
• [New] Turkey's central bank has maintained its year-end inflation targets for 2025 and 2026. AGBI
• Turkey, with its strategic position between Europe and Asia and an insurance sector that has been steadily expanding, offers opportunities in both traditional and specialty lines. Insurance Business
• Turkey now faces its most credible opportunity for a durable peace. The Conversation

Last updated: 15 September 2025