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WHAT'S NEXT?: Uncertainties over Turkey's eventual political position abound. With EU decisions in doubt, recent crackdown on opposition parties causing concerns, and being embroiled in complex Middle East politics and fighting terrorism on its borders and internally, which way will she swing?

  • [New] If the U.S. decides to withdraw from Syria without coordinating with Turkey and instead withdraws after making a deal with Damascus or continues to stay in Syria, Turkish-American relations will suffer. The American Conservative
  • [New] Although Erdogan's statements are frequently intended for domestic consumption, Turkey's president and high-ranking officials in Ankara seem gravely concerned about U.S.-UK military action in the Red Sea worsening regional tensions that could risk bringing NATO into a much larger conflict. Responsible Statecraft
  • [New] Turkey could lead naval operations in the international waters in the Black Sea, further out from its coastline, with its TCG Anadolu assault ship without a NATO mandate. Atlantic Council
  • [New] As Europeans are not keen on purchasing Russian gas, Turkey could reserve its Russian imports for domestic consumption and export what is left of its domestic extraction. Carnegie Europe
  • [New] Turkey will face tough choices as Western sanctions on Russia because of the war in Ukraine restrict the Kremlin's options for energy exports and Europe progressively moves away from hydrocarbon consumption and imports. Carnegie Europe
  • Turkey considers the Development Road an opportunity to enhance trade with the Gulf region and the Middle East. Carnegie Middle East Center
  • Under the 10-year pact, Turkey will help defend Somalia's long coastline and also rebuild the naval forces of the fragile Horn of Africa nation. DW.COM
  • Due to the invasion of Turkey in the West and South, the turkish army left most of the fighting to its mercenary forces in Syria and Iraq, so that more turkish troops could be ordered back to Turkey as reinforcements. Future
  • By 2025, 30% of all 155 mm rounds made in the United States will be manufactured by factories that are part of a partnership between the US Department of Defense and a Turkish defence company. Atlantic Council
  • New research from HSBC suggests that untapped trade opportunities between India and the Middle East, North Africa and Turkey could be worth more than $112 billion. Arabian Gulf Business Insight
  • A US threat to impose sanctions on financial firms doing business with Russia has chilled Turkish-Russian trade, disrupting or slowing some payments for both imported oil and Turkish exports.
  • At a time when European countries are increasingly thirsty for more natural gas and have suspended their gas trade with Russia, Turkey is one of the few partners that could offer Brussels an alternative source of supplies. Carnegie Europe
  • Erdogan repeatedly stressed that Turkey and Israel could work together to bring Israeli natural gas to Europe - another step toward Turkey's gas hub project. Carnegie Europe
  • Turkish banks reportedly have started closing Russian companies' accounts due to the threat of US secondary sanctions. Institute for the Study of War
  • Turkey, China and Russia would see a great opportunity in an eventual reduced presence of the US in the Middle East, essentially the US in an isolated alliance with a Fortress Israel. Antiwar.com
  • Turkey and Ukraine have signed an accord that will allow Turkish construction firms to take part in the reconstruction of Ukrainian infrastructure damaged amid Russia's invasion. The Guardian
  • Consider the Axis of Resistance groups Iran uses to project power throughout the Middle East, or Turkey's involvement in the conflict in Libya, or how Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have become entangled in the conflict in Sudan. Vox
  • Washington will not convince leaders in Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, or Vietnam to commit political suicide by abandoning their domestic model. Foreign Affairs Magazine
  • While Turkey provides registered refugees with access to basic rights and services, the skyrocketing cost of living and lack of access to income opportunities make it increasingly difficult for refugee families to get by. European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations
  • The end of Turkey's obstruction to Sweden's NATO membership is a win for the Biden administration and will relieve some of the political pressure to play hardball with Ankara. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Last updated: 25 March 2024



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