Global Scans · Turkey · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: Uncertainties over Turkey's eventual political position abound. With EU decisions in doubt, recent crackdown on opposition parties causing concerns, and being embroiled in complex Middle East politics and fighting terrorism on its borders and internally, which way will she swing?

• [New] Autoliv has confirmed plans to gradually discontinue its manufacturing operations in Turkey, with the complete closure of production of steering wheels, airbags and seatbelts anticipated in the first half of 2028. Automotive World
• [New] There could be more structured Turkish participation in the European security architecture and more sustainable, values-based cooperation in areas such as migration, connectivity, energy security and critical raw materials. CEPS
• [New] Turkey is closing a critical sensor gap that previously required foreign procurement, and likely positions the platform as a credible low-observable threat to adversaries relying solely on radar warning receivers for situational awareness. Drone Warfare
• [New] Turkey is consolidating a sovereign, exportable submarine warfare capability that could reshape naval modernization procurement decisions among NATO partners and non-aligned regional navies. Drone Warfare
• [New] Growing travel budgets paired with strong repeat intent reframes Turkey's commercial opportunity. Simon Kucher
• [New] More than 60% of Gen Z and Millennials already use AI tools to plan their trips - and Turkey-bound travelers do so at rates that exceed global averages. Simon Kucher
• [New] The National Water Plan (2026-2035) has just been announced and officially entered into force. / Turkey LinkedIn
• [New] Health and Wellness Tourism: With a rising interest in spa resorts and wellness centers, Turkey's Pamukkale hot springs and resorts in Antalya and Bodrum are expected to attract Chinese visitors seeking relaxation and rejuvenation. Travel And Tour World
• [New] There is Turkey's sticky inflation, which is expected to reach 25% in 2026, and a widening trade deficit. Middle East Eye
• [New] Water could become the focus of global conflicts in the coming era, much like oil and carbon fuels were in the past and stressed the need for careful management of Turkey's water resources. hurriyetdailynews.com
• Instability in Iran could strengthen Kurdish nationalist movements, potentially leading to the emergence of an autonomous Kurdish entity near Turkey's southern border. RestProperty
• If a revolution occurs, Turkey's role as a key bridge between the West and the Middle East could disappear. RestProperty
• Turkey continues to maintain its strategic goal of full membership in the European Union and expects Brussels to remove existing obstacles on the path of European integration. RestProperty
• The goal of building a nationally designed submarine and a nuclear-powered submarine under the ongoing National Submarine Project and NUKDEN was part of Turkey's plan to increase deterrence against regional threats in the eastern Mediterranean and surrounding seas and to become a global power. Turkish Minute
• The growing hostility between Turkey and Israel introduces an additional layer of risk, because both nations operate militarily within overlapping regions such as Syria. Armstrong Economics
• As a Eurasian country, Turkey could provide suitable energy transits to the world, bypassing the Hormuz volatility. New Eastern Outlook
• If Turkish public opinion and government become convinced that Iran poses a direct threat to their territorial integrity, Ankara might be compelled to cooperate more closely with the anti-Iran coalition. Modern Diplomacy
• If Israel can convince Baku of an Iranian threat by designing operations in Azerbaijani territory (especially Nakhchivan, which borders both Turkey and Iran), it could then use Azerbaijan's military capabilities to occupy Iran along its northwestern borders. Modern Diplomacy
• Any shifts in rhetoric from Putin or Zelenskyy could matter, particularly if mediators from Turkey or Saudi Arabia enter negotiations. Crypto Briefing
• A: S&P forecasts average CPI inflation of 29.3% in Turkey for 2026, up from its previous forecast of 23.4% before global geopolitical tensions. Property Turkey
• A: S&P currently forecasts 3.4% GDP growth in Turkey through 2026, after GDP growth of 3.6% in 2025 was recorded. Property Turkey
• S&P's own forecast puts Turkey's nominal GDP at $1.66 trillion USD in 2026, rising to $2.23 trillion USD by 2029. Property Turkey
• Turkey's nominal GDP is projected by S&P at $1.66 trillion USD in 2026 and above $2.2 trillion USD by 2029. Property Turkey

Last updated: 11 May 2026