Global Scans · Mexico · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: Mexico's economy and status with the U.S. faces uncertain times as a result of Donald Trump's recent election as America's next president. The impacts of Donald Trump's pre-election threats are already being felt by Mexico's economy and may have unforeseen consequences for both nations.

• [New] By 2031, drones will likely represent a foundational element in Mexico's defence architecture, with multi-sensor fusion, AI-enhanced decision-making, and distributed battlefield awareness systems. Mobility Foresights
• [New] Government programs aimed at boosting local UAV production and exports are likely to play a key role in strengthening Mexico's global position in the military drone domain by 2031. Mobility Foresights
• [New] Mexico real estate investment in 2025 presents unprecedented opportunities across diverse markets, from nearshoring industrial hubs to cultural tourism destinations. Oaxaca Properties
• [New] The OECD anticipates 1.9% growth in the U.S. in 2027, and 1.7% in Canada - on par with the forecast for Mexico. Mexico News Daily
• [New] A swift and successful renegotiation of the USCMCA trade pact between Mexico, the United States and Canada in 2026 could help to reduce uncertainty and thus support investment and exports more strongly than currently anticipated. Mexico News Daily
• [New] Mexico's GDP will increase 0.7% in 2025 and 1.2% in 2026. Mexico News Daily
• [New] Successful unconventional resource development could fundamentally transform Mexico's energy security profile by reducing import dependency, diversifying supply sources, and providing domestic production capacity that enhances negotiating positions in international energy markets. Discovery Alert
• [New] The Burgos Basin represents Mexico's most significant unconventional resource opportunity, with estimated reserves of 64 billion barrels of oil equivalent spanning Tamaulipas and adjacent states. Discovery Alert
• [New] Mexico's persistent reliance on natural gas imports from the United States creates strategic vulnerabilities that complicate long-term energy planning. Discovery Alert
• At COP 29, companies under the Zero Emission Vehicles Emerging Markets Initiative signalled demand for approximately 9000 electric vehicles in Mexico by 2027; and more than 17 000 electric vehicles by 2030, including freight and passenger vehicles. IEA
• The Bank of Mexico is forecasting that an additional 260,000 to 460,000 formal sector positions will be added in 2026, and between 400,000 and 600,000 in 2027. Mexico News Daily
• Banxico is forecasting that the Mexican economy will grow 2% in 2027. Mexico News Daily
• The pace of growth of the Mexican economy will significantly quicken in 2026 compared to 2025. Mexico News Daily
• Mexico is entering 2026 with decisive technological momentum. Mexico Business
• Mexican production is predicted to rise 5 Moz y/y to 186 Moz, supported by the restart of Penoles' Tizapa following a prolonged labour strike, the ongoing ramp-up at Endeavour Silver's Terronera, and higher output at Southern Copper. The Silver Institute
• While a strong peso can make Mexican goods more expensive for American buyers, it signals economic strength and stability, appealing to long-term foreign investors who seek asset preservation and lower financial risk. Esales Overseas Property - Buy or Sell Overseas Propert
• Mexico's behaviour at COP 30 is likely to reveal where Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum - who has a background as a climate scientist - is going long-term in addressing global climate change. Mexico News Daily
• COP 30 will hopefully encourage Mexico to increase its financial commitment to its climate goals across public and private sectors - and strengthen its participatory environmental governance with non-state players and Indigenous communities. Mexico News Daily
• Phasing out fossil fuels by 2050, scaling up climate finance for people and the environment and implementing strategies to build a more climate-resilient society remain critical goals for Mexico. Mexico News Daily
• By 2031, AR will become a mainstream tool across sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, and retail, enhancing decision-making and customer engagement. / Mexico Mobility Foresights
• Foxconn plans to expand its AI factories footprint, building facilities in the US and Mexico to produce AI servers using Nvidia chips and software. Bez Kabli

Last updated: 09 December 2025