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A global catastrophic risk is a hypothetical future event that has the potential to damage human well-being on a global scale. Some events could cripple or destroy modern civilization. Any event that could cause human extinction is known as an existential risk.

  • Slow down AI developmentCut a deal with ChinaMonitor the major sources of computeLean on mutually assured compute destruction as a stabilizing deterrent (with credible ways to trigger that destruction Expect very fast progress toward superintelligence around 2040 regardless of slowdowns. Bio-Security Stack
  • While the initial AI 2027 hype predicted a singularity, revised timelines now point toward 2031 for a fully autonomous AI researcher. Medium
  • AI researchers propose delaying superintelligence until 2040. MarketingProfs
  • Even without a superintelligence takeover, AI could make the process of science look very different by 2050. sciencesprings
  • Looking ahead, artificial superintelligence and quantum computing could emerge rapidly, potentially as soon as 2028. LinkedIn
  • If the relevant countries know that the world is close to AGI, and that a transition to superintelligence may well follow very soon afterwards, then they know they risk total disempowerment if some other countries develop AGI before them. Forethought
  • In January, Meta said it expected 2026 capital expenditures to soar by up to 87% to as high as $135 billion compared to 2025 because of increased investments in AI infrastructure to support its superintelligence lab. Newsweek
  • The world may be moving from the AGI conversation toward superintelligence - while also warning that infrastructure scarcity could make advanced AI concentrated in the hands of the few. Medium

Last updated: 03 August 2026



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