Our Scans · Great Power Competition and Strategic Fragmentation · Weekly Summary

• [New] Geopolitical fragmentation is one of the dominant macro-trends reshaping risk and compliance in 2026, with data localization mandates proliferating faster than most enterprise legal teams can track. PlusClouds
• A more volatile operating environment Allianz identifies geopolitical fragmentation, trade disruption and uncertainty around strategic chokepoints as systemic risks for global supply chains. FlippingBook
• Through coordination within BRICS, Brazil might participate in collective declarations promoting multipolar governance and sovereign equality, reinforcing a unified stance against unilateral pressures that could compel alignment in a polarized war. Grokipedia
• The rise of China, renewed great-power competition, technological disruption, demographic pressures, growing public debt, fiscal constraints, and domestic division have forced a reassessment of what America can realistically achieve. Global SP
• In the Indian discourse, the emerging multipolar order is associated with a growing number of international centers of power that will engender an increased international pluralism of values, norms and institutions. Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP)
• International business is being rewritten in real time - by geopolitical fragmentation, technological disruption, sustainability pressures, and shifting global governance. AIB-UKI (Academy of International Business UK and Irela
• As the Asia-Pacific finds itself in the crosshairs of intensifying geoeconomic competition and strategic rivalry, plurilateral agreements provide a crucial safeguard - and strategic opportunity - to weather the volatility in the global economy. The Diplomat
• Moscow could employ salami tactics to undermine security on Europe's periphery, and the question of where Russia's European sphere of influence ended would remain a constant irritant. The Saturday Paper
• The Trump administration's transactional approach and sphere-of-influence worldview expose Germany's most critical vulnerability: structural dependence on non-EU-controlled digital infrastructure. DGAP
• The new regional order will be defined less by American primacy than by multipolarity, with China an increasingly central player and Iran an integral rather than a marginal actor. Foreign Affairs Magazine
• Persistent geopolitical fragmentation raises the risk of moves away from the US dollar as the dominant reserve currency, leaving medium-sized economies like the UK navigating a more complex, multi-aligned global financial system. GOV.UK
• Although unlikely to evolve into a formal alliance, closer coordination among Russia, India, and China could accelerate the transition toward a fragmented multipolar order and complicate Western strategic calculations. Khabarhub
• AI will deepen the strategic rivalry between the U.S. and China, but in a more differentiated way than a simple winner-takes-all race. Educational Technology and Change Journal
• Although the Multipolaristas may hope for less war, the Chinese MCF approach is lowering the economic cost of war and growing the kinetic domain of hybrid warfare. Unlimited Hangout
• A multipolar world order will give rise to a reformed multilateralism. / India Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP)
• Global slowdowns, geopolitical fragmentation, rapid technological disruption, inflationary pressure, climate risks, and shifting workforce dynamics converge to create a strategic imperative - talent resilience and adaptability. People Matters
• Russia seeks to put down democratic movements in its neighbourhood because it is afraid they could undermine its status as a pole in the multipolar world order. Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP)
• Turkey seems to have the clearest idea about which actors will play a central role in a multipolar world order - namely, the US, China and Russia. Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP)
• China, India and Russia all have an entirely positive view of multipolarity, which they see as providing opportunities to gain international political influence. Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP)
• Global supply chains are being reshaped by inflation, technology, sustainability regulation, workforce constraints, geopolitical fragmentation, cybersecurity threats, and critical resource competition. Professor Richard Wilding OBE - The Supply Chain & Logi
• Artificial intelligence warfare, drone systems, Arctic security, cybersecurity threats, NATO spending, and geopolitical fragmentation are all converging simultaneously. Kalkine

Last updated: 02 August 2026