[New] The euro area's headline inflation is expected to rise from 2.1% in 2025 to 3.0%, while for the EU it will rise from 2.5% to 3.1% in 2026, largely driven by energy prices.
European Banking Authority
[New] Energy prices will peak sharply in 2026, pushing both oil and gas costs significantly higher and feeding directly into inflation and reduced purchasing power.
European Banking Authority
[New] The Fed increased its inflation outlook, with the PCE index now expected to reach 3.6% by the end of 2026 versus 2.7% in the previous forecast.
investing.com
[New] The Fed raised its inflation forecasts and signaled a higher expected policy rate path as markets increasingly price out rate cuts and shift toward the possibility of additional tightening.
Mortgage News Daily
[New] Global consumer price inflation is expected to stay elevated at 4.1% in 2026, with the S&P Global Material Price Index (excluding energy) forecast to rise over 20%.
Seeking Alpha
[New] 89% of chief economists expect global growth to weaken over the coming year and 94% expect inflation to increase, principally because of higher energy and food prices.
Crawford School of Public Policy
[New] G20 inflation is projected to rise from 3.4% in 2025 to 4.0% in 2026 before easing to 3.1% in 2027.
Crawford School of Public Policy
[New] Beyond the Fed, China credit data, a Bank of Japan policy meeting plus UK inflation data will help shape the global macro picture.
BlackRock
[New] Upside risks: stronger-than-expected services inflation persistence, renewed energy or commodity price shocks, and tighter global financial conditions that transmit unevenly.
IC Your Trading Edge | Official Blog | Blog
[New] ECB officials, including President Christine Lagarde, have welcomed the drop in energy risks but remain cautious, warning that inflation pressures may persist and additional policy tightening is still possible if prices remain elevated.
IC Your Trading Edge | Official Blog | Blog
[New] In Europe, focus remains on inflation expectations and any follow-up commentary from European Central Bank officials after last week's rate hike, as markets reassess whether the ECB could stay hawkish amid lingering energy-driven inflation pressures.
IC Your Trading Edge | Official Blog | Blog
[New] The baseline projections see headline inflation, as measured by the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, peaking at 3.4% in the third and fourth quarters of 2026 and remaining above 3.0% until early 2027, driven by a surge in energy inflation as a result of the conflict in the Middle East.
European Central Bank
[New] Energy inflation is projected to peak at 12.5% in the third quarter of 2026, to fall sharply in 2027 owing to lower energy commodity prices and negative base effects, and to rise again in 2028 with the introduction of ETS2.
European Central Bank
[New] Given declining paths for oil and gas futures and large downward base effects early in 2027, energy inflation is projected to drop into negative territory in 2027.
European Central Bank
[New] Indirect effects from higher energy prices are expected to materialise gradually, pushing up HICP inflation excluding energy to 2.7% on average in 2027, from 2.3% in early 2026.
European Central Bank
[New] The ECB will release an updated set of economic projections, which most expect to show higher inflation forecasts for 2026 and 2027, as well as downward revisions to growth.
investing.com
[New] Inflation forecasts were revised sharply higher, with the FY2026 core CPI projection raised to 2.8% from 1.9%, driven by energy costs, while the growth forecast was cut to 0.5% from 1.0% due to risks stemming from the Middle East.
investing.com
[New] Treasury yields, unsurprisingly, rose as investors sharpened their focus on the possibility that inflation risk may linger longer than recently expected, supported by a relatively robust economy, which in turn lifts the odds that the Federal Reserve may soon start raising interest rates. / USA
investing.com
[New] Hotter-than-expected inflation could push Treasury yields higher and strengthen expectations of tighter monetary policy, creating a less supportive backdrop for Bitcoin and other risk assets.
investing.com
[New] Recent U.S. inflation data came in hotter than expected, strengthening expectations that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer, a factor that typically weighs on non-yielding assets like gold.
IC Your Trading Edge | Official Blog | Blog
[New] The danger in switching from core PCE to trimmed mean PCE inflation is that the Fed may be seen as acting opportunistically, choosing a measure of inflation that fits preconceived notions regarding the future trajectory of the Fed funds rate.
U.S. Economic Snapshot
Last updated: 24 June 2026
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