In coming decades, China's working-age population is expected to contract and the dependency ratio, which is the ratio of non-working-age to working-age population, is expected to increase substantially.
Reserve Bank of Australia
The Social Security Trustees project that the aged dependency ratio (the number of people over age sixty-five divided by the number of people between the ages of twenty and sixty-four) will increase from 0.218 in 2010 to 0.325 in 2025. / USA
The International Economy
The old-age dependency ratio will surge from 28% today to 155% by the 2080s. / South Korea
EIKLEAF
The global old-age dependency ratio has risen from 8% in 1960 to approximately 15% in 2026 and is projected to reach 25% by 2050.
BusinessStats
New bond issuance is likely to remain below 30 trillion yen for a second straight year, while the debt dependency ratio is projected to fall to 24.2% in fiscal 2026 from 24.9% a year earlier.
Japan Wire by KYODO NEWS
The productivity costs are compounded by the elderly dependency ratio, which will grow from 28% in 2024 to 155% in the 2080s - faster than any other OECD country.
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
By 2026-2027, the dependency ratio (the share of children and older adults relative to the working-age population) is projected to exceed 50%.
Oxford Institute of Population Ageing
In the Euro area, the old-age dependency ratio is projected to rise significantly, reaching more than 51% by 2070 according to the United Nations.
State Street
Globally, the old-age dependency ratio is projected to increase from 14% in 2019 to 20% in 2035 and to 26% by 2050.
PubMed Central (PMC)
The old-age dependency ratio is projected to rise from 25.8 in 2023 to 62.6 by 2042, meaning each elderly person will be supported by 1.6 working-age individuals, compared to four in 2023. / South KoreaPubMed Central (PMC)
The old-age dependency ratio is expected to surge from 25.8 in 2023 to 77.3 by 2050, meaning that by 2050, each elderly person will be supported by just 1.3 working-age individuals, compared to four in 2023.
PubMed Central (PMC)
Last updated: 16 June 2026
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