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Global Scans · Inflation · Weekly Summary


  • [New] Inflation is predicted to be significantly greater in developing countries than in their first-world counterparts. LOGISTICS MANAGERS' INDEX
  • [New] The danger in switching from core PCE to trimmed mean PCE inflation is that the Fed may be seen as acting opportunistically, choosing a measure of inflation that fits preconceived notions regarding the future trajectory of the Fed funds rate. U.S. Economic Snapshot
  • [New] Average annual inflation will ease from 16.6% in 2026 to 14.4% in 2027 due to normalising energy prices, favourable base effects, and the tapering of election-related spending, creating scope for the CBN to lower rates to 24.0%. Fitch Solutions
  • [New] The Middle East conflict remains an active wildcard: if it escalates further, commodity price shocks could delay the inflation outlook materially. Integrated Finance Group
  • [New] With inflation still running well above the RBA's 2-3% target band and three of Australia's four major banks forecasting no cuts until at least mid-2027, the pressure on household budgets is far from over. Integrated Finance Group
  • [New] A hot 4.2% US inflation print - the third monthly rise in a row - turned rate-cut hopes into rate-hike fears, sending money out of technology and into banks on Wall Street. The Rio Times
  • [New] Beyond the Fed, China credit data, a Bank of Japan policy meeting plus UK inflation data will help shape the global macro picture. BlackRock
  • [New] Upside risks: stronger-than-expected services inflation persistence, renewed energy or commodity price shocks, and tighter global financial conditions that transmit unevenly. IC Your Trading Edge | Official Blog | Blog
  • [New] ECB officials, including President Christine Lagarde, have welcomed the drop in energy risks but remain cautious, warning that inflation pressures may persist and additional policy tightening is still possible if prices remain elevated. IC Your Trading Edge | Official Blog | Blog
  • [New] Global oil supply issues will take some time to resolve, maintaining upward pressure on global energy prices and inflation. Urbantech Finance - Borrow For Tomorrow | Finance Broke
  • [New] Retail gasoline rose 3.93% over the month to early June, its sharpest jump since 2018, and headline inflation could pass 6% year on year for the first time in 2026. Euromaidan Press
  • [New] A prospective US-Iran peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has eased fears of an energy-driven inflation shock and rate hikes. LiquidityFinder
  • [New] 89% of chief economists expect global growth to weaken over the coming year and 94% expect inflation to increase, principally because of higher energy and food prices. Crawford School of Public Policy
  • [New] G20 inflation is projected to rise from 3.4% in 2025 to 4.0% in 2026 before easing to 3.1% in 2027. Crawford School of Public Policy
  • [New] This year's (2026-2027) El Nino weather phenomenon can significantly affect global commodities, and food price inflation can be expected, especially if it is confirmed to be what is commonly known as a 'Super El Nino'. SeafoodNews
  • [New] Recent U.S. inflation data came in hotter than expected, strengthening expectations that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer, a factor that typically weighs on non-yielding assets like gold. IC Your Trading Edge | Official Blog | Blog
  • [New] If reform spreads beyond Florida, the social-inflation tailwind padding casualty rate adequacy fades; if it does not, nuclear-verdict reserve risk stays live. Matterfact
  • [New] Inflation forecasts were revised sharply higher, with the FY2026 core CPI projection raised to 2.8% from 1.9%, driven by energy costs, while the growth forecast was cut to 0.5% from 1.0% due to risks stemming from the Middle East. investing.com
  • [New] Persistently elevated inflation - even after the war-driven energy shock fades - will keep rates higher for longer and weigh on bonds over the coming years. Saxo Markets
  • [New] The baseline projections see headline inflation, as measured by the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, peaking at 3.4% in the third and fourth quarters of 2026 and remaining above 3.0% until early 2027, driven by a surge in energy inflation as a result of the conflict in the Middle East. European Central Bank
  • [New] In the baseline of the new Eurosystem staff projections, headline inflation is expected to average 3.0% in 2026, 2.3% in 2027 and 2.0% in 2028. European Central Bank
  • [New] Core inflation is expected to remain better anchored around the ECB's 2% medium-term objective, decelerating from 2.4% in 2025 to 2.3% in 2026 and 2.2% in 2027. The Conference Board
  • [New] The escalation in the Middle East is pushing oil higher and lifting inflation risks, which in turn is reinforcing expectations that central banks stay tighter for longer. Money Talks News

Last updated: 21 June 2026



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