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Global Scans · Apocalypse · Weekly Summary


  • [New] A busy July in catastrophe loss terms from severe weather activity has resulted in US insurer Allstate reporting $682 million in pre-tax losses, which has lifted the total across the current annual aggregate risk period for its catastrophe bonds to $2.402 billion so far. Artemis.bm - The Catastrophe Bond, Insurance Linked Sec
  • [New] Hurricanes and regional supply shocks will exercise the full apparatus of registration, certification, requisition, and payment, all at low stakes, years before any global catastrophe. American Affairs Journal
  • Conditional on AI capabilities progressing rapidly by 2030, the median expert forecasts the probability of an AI-related catastrophe by 2100 at 10% compared with 15% for a catastrophe from any cause. Forecasting Research Institute
  • Moving from the slow world to the rapid world implies a five-fold increase in the risk of a deadly AI-related global catastrophe. Forecasting Research Institute
  • Healthcare remains the fastest-growing sector through 2034, so the bigger risk is a skills mismatch than a wholesale job apocalypse. metaintro
  • Property-catastrophe prices continued to soften with risk-adjusted decreases typically seen in the -15% to -20% range, while some individual layers seeing deeper risk-adjusted decreases, especially at remote attachment points. Insurance Journal
  • Aggregated forecasts from platforms like Metaculus, Manifold Markets, and Polymarket tend to cluster in the 5-15% range for questions about AI-caused catastrophe before 2100. Calcuja
  • Europe's insurers are bracing for a new era of catastrophe risk fanned by rising temperatures in the world's fastest-warming continent. Insurance Journal
  • As use of disaster risk financing instruments, such as catastrophe bonds and parametric insurance becomes more embedded in social safety nets, it provides UN agencies and similar a way to access efficient risk capital that can be responsively deployed when food security disasters strike. Artemis.bm - The Catastrophe Bond, Insurance Linked Sec
  • Swiss Re is sponsoring what will become the seventeenth takedown under its Bermuda-based Matterhorn Re catastrophe bond program. / USA Artemis.bm - The Catastrophe Bond, Insurance Linked Sec
  • The $120 million catastrophe bond provides multi-year, capital markets-backed reinsurance protection against Florida named storms risk. Insurance Journal
  • Insurance and risk-transfer products: the UK's insurance and reinsurance ecosystem has a strong international reach, anchored by London's role as a global hub for international insurance markets, with established capability across catastrophe modelling, reinsurance, and specialist risk instruments. GOV.UK
  • Some of the world's biggest hedge funds and banks want to incorporate the expertise of catastrophe-risk professionals across a broader chunk of the finance sector, as the skills required to model natural disasters become increasingly relevant for asset values in a hotter, more turbulent world. Claims Journal
  • Around 73,000 people are classified in IPC AFI Phase 5 (Catastrophe) and are experiencing extreme food consumption gaps associated with starvation, heightened risk of death, and the collapse of livelihoods. Food Security Portal
  • The war in Sudan is a humanitarian catastrophe, a source of instability in Africa, and a threat to U.S. national security. genocidewatch
  • Until ULA and Blue Origin can confirm that it was not a flaw in the BE - 4 that caused the New Glenn catastrophe, the Vulcan will remain sidelined. Mobile Internet Resource Center

Last updated: 13 September 2026



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