Welcome to Shaping Tomorrow

Global Scans · Apocalypse · Weekly Summary


  • Either as Munich Re's portfolio outgrows the levels of risk it can retain, or as the cost of sponsoring catastrophe bonds, or reinstating other ILS structures such as reinsurance sidecars, becomes too attractive to ignore. Artemis.bm - The Catastrophe Bond, Insurance Linked Sec
  • Underwriting remains rigorous for more challenging areas, such as U.S.-exposed casualty and automobile, as well as higher-hazard, loss-impacted and natural catastrophe exposed risks. Aon
  • A busy July in catastrophe loss terms from severe weather activity has resulted in US insurer Allstate reporting $682 million in pre-tax losses, which has lifted the total across the current annual aggregate risk period for its catastrophe bonds to $2.402 billion so far. Artemis.bm - The Catastrophe Bond, Insurance Linked Sec
  • Hurricanes and regional supply shocks will exercise the full apparatus of registration, certification, requisition, and payment, all at low stakes, years before any global catastrophe. American Affairs Journal
  • Conditional on AI capabilities progressing rapidly by 2030, the median expert forecasts the probability of an AI-related catastrophe by 2100 at 10% compared with 15% for a catastrophe from any cause. Forecasting Research Institute
  • Moving from the slow world to the rapid world implies a five-fold increase in the risk of a deadly AI-related global catastrophe. Forecasting Research Institute
  • Healthcare remains the fastest-growing sector through 2034, so the bigger risk is a skills mismatch than a wholesale job apocalypse. metaintro
  • Property-catastrophe prices continued to soften with risk-adjusted decreases typically seen in the -15% to -20% range, while some individual layers seeing deeper risk-adjusted decreases, especially at remote attachment points. Insurance Journal
  • Aggregated forecasts from platforms like Metaculus, Manifold Markets, and Polymarket tend to cluster in the 5-15% range for questions about AI-caused catastrophe before 2100. Calcuja
  • Europe's insurers are bracing for a new era of catastrophe risk fanned by rising temperatures in the world's fastest-warming continent. Insurance Journal
  • As use of disaster risk financing instruments, such as catastrophe bonds and parametric insurance becomes more embedded in social safety nets, it provides UN agencies and similar a way to access efficient risk capital that can be responsively deployed when food security disasters strike. Artemis.bm - The Catastrophe Bond, Insurance Linked Sec
  • Swiss Re is sponsoring what will become the seventeenth takedown under its Bermuda-based Matterhorn Re catastrophe bond program. / USA Artemis.bm - The Catastrophe Bond, Insurance Linked Sec
  • The $120 million catastrophe bond provides multi-year, capital markets-backed reinsurance protection against Florida named storms risk. Insurance Journal
  • Insurance and risk-transfer products: the UK's insurance and reinsurance ecosystem has a strong international reach, anchored by London's role as a global hub for international insurance markets, with established capability across catastrophe modelling, reinsurance, and specialist risk instruments. GOV.UK
  • Some of the world's biggest hedge funds and banks want to incorporate the expertise of catastrophe-risk professionals across a broader chunk of the finance sector, as the skills required to model natural disasters become increasingly relevant for asset values in a hotter, more turbulent world. Claims Journal
  • Around 73,000 people are classified in IPC AFI Phase 5 (Catastrophe) and are experiencing extreme food consumption gaps associated with starvation, heightened risk of death, and the collapse of livelihoods. Food Security Portal
  • The war in Sudan is a humanitarian catastrophe, a source of instability in Africa, and a threat to U.S. national security. genocidewatch

Last updated: 01 November 2026



Please stand by...

The magic is happening, but it might take a couple of minutes.

Login