Averting conflict will require Gulf states, Turkey, and signatories of the Pretoria Peace Agreement to simultaneously dissuade Ethiopia from pursuing Assab and press Eritrea to halt its cooperation with the military groups.
Atlantic Council
If anything, Eritrea will double down on building self-reliance at home as a shield against unpredictability.
Setit Media
Eritrea welcomed the global power shift as an opportunity, with Afwerki stating the unipolar global order is beginning to unravel.
Setit Media
As multipolarity takes hold, countries like Eritrea will push for multilateral norms that protect sovereignty - for example, stricter prohibitions on unilateral sanctions, or UN reforms giving greater voice to Africa and Asia.
Setit Media
Eritrea will likely continue to reject any cooperation that smells of dependency or paternalism.Setit Media
Eritrea might favor plurilateral agreements on specific goals: a regional pact on Red Sea maritime security strictly among coastal states, or a development initiative among Horn of Africa countries to jointly build infrastructure (roads, power grids) linking their economies.
Setit Media
The United States exhibited a much higher than expected burden of MSDs, whereas Eritrea showed a considerably lower than anticipated burden (Figure 4D).
Frontiers
Eritrea will seek foreign investment but on its own terms - for example, insisting on joint ventures in mining and retaining state ownership in critical infrastructure.
Setit Media
The risk of a full-scale return to war involving Ethiopia, Tigray, and Eritrea remains high.
krautART ARTspace
Progress is at risk: Biological challenges: Drug resistance: Artemisinin partial resistance is confirmed in four African countries (Eritrea, Rwanda, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania,) and spreading.
LinkedIn
Eritrea had hoped that Ethiopia would insist on much harsher terms that would, in effect, dismantle the TPLF completely, so as to remove the threat it perceived on its southern border.
International Crisis Group
Eritrea has opportunistically aligned with the TPLF to contain Ethiopia and use Tigray as a buffer so that Ethiopia is unable to carry out its threats to annex Eritrea's port of Assab.
Critical Threats
A war between Africa's second most populous country and Eritrea could throw an already unstable region into chaos.
Statista
In the Horn of Africa, tensions have been growing between Ethiopia and Eritrea, with Ethiopia's Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed stating his intention to give the landlocked country access to the Red Sea, which Eritrea fears could mean an invasion.
Statista
The stability not just of South Sudan but of a large part of East Africa and the Horn of Africa - a region the EU declared as strategically important - is under threat from existing wars and the threat of fighting between Ethiopia and Eritrea.
International Crisis Group
The authorities in Addis Ababa see a growing closeness between the TPLF and Eritrea as a threat.
BBC News
Last updated: 20 June 2026
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