[New] A European economic recession and higher government borrowing rates will make it difficult for Europe's highly indebted countries like France, Italy, and the United Kingdom to grow their way out from under their debt mountains.
American Enterprise Institute - AEI
[New] The biggest single risk to the global outlook is a U.S. recession, which Deverell believes would most likely be triggered by a peaking and subsequent pullback in tech investment.
ROGER MONTGOMERY
[New] Stocks are likely to witness major correction by the end of 2026 even as the U.S. economy could slip into a recession.
Economic Times
[New] Britain is to flirt with recession and unemployment will be sent soaring amid the fallout of the Iran war.
LBC
[New] Headwinds from the energy price shock, U.S. tariffs, trade policy uncertainty and a shrinking population will likely keep recession risks elevated.
MarketsFarm
[New] The sharp rise in oil prices has raised the risk of a global recession fuelled by the rising cost of fuels and industrial feedstocks.
The Guardian
[New] Britain is facing a £35bn economic hit and the risk of a recession in 2026 as the fallout from the Iran war adds to the pressure on Keir Starmer's government, a leading thinktank has warned.
The Guardian
[New] German growth in 2026 will be around 0.6%, or just 0.3% adjusted for working days, and warns that prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz raises recession risks.
Insights
[New] A U.S. recession in 2026 would reduce Canadian export demand and could suppress core inflation even as tariff-driven goods prices rise.
Lines.com
[New] Europe will likely fall into recession if the Iran war persists through the first half of 2026 and disruptions to energy supplies are more extensive.
CNN
[New] Spiralling energy costs and disruption to supply chains will push the UK to the brink of a technical recession in the middle of 2026.
The Guardian
[New] A quarter of a million people could lose their jobs by the middle of 2027 as Britain flirts with recession, analysis suggests, after business confidence was shattered by the US-Israel war on Iran.
The Guardian
[New] AI disruption, falling share prices, and rising default forecasts have traders watching the likelihood of a US recession in 2026.
Crypto Briefing
[New] A slowdown or recession outside the United States will reduce demand for US exports and reduce the income derived from US foreign investments.
Resources for the Future
[New] The longer the Middle East conflict persists, the greater the risk of a global recession, which favors silver.
LiteFinance
Any further escalation in the Iran war could trigger a global recession, and the International Monetary Fund has said the UK economy is expected to be more affected than any of the other G7 nations.
The Guardian
The UK economy will flatline across the second and third quarters of this year, placing it on the brink of a technical recession, defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction.
World Socialist Web Site
The number of business executives who expect a recession by the end of 2026 decreased heavily from 52% to 36%.
CPA Practice Advisor
In the mild recession scenario, total real estate sales are lower by $1.30 billion in FY 2025, $10.86 billion in FY 2026, $6.26 billion in FY 2027, $2.88 billion in FY 2028 and $3.25 billion in FY 2029.
Office of the New York City Comptroller Mark Levine
While many economists are raising the odds of a recession in 2027 due to rising oil prices, the Federal Reserve has opted to hold interest rates steady - which is good news for investors.
Yahoo Finance
There's a material risk that Canada's housing slump could persist for longer and lead to a deeper correction in prices.
BNN Bloomberg
Last updated: 13 May 2026
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