Global Scans · Capitalism · Weekly Summary

• [New] The biggest impact of the Iran War may not be that crude oil at $120 per barrel might tip the global economy into a recession; rather, it is more likely to drive even faster adoption of cheaper, greener energy sources. The Big Picture
• [New] The oil price shock due to the Iran war will take a toll on the German economy but is unlikely to trigger a recession. Global Banking & Finance Review
• [New] Prolonged disruptions could lead to a broader global slowdown, with recession risks increasing if conditions worsen. STL.News
• [New] Bloomberg economic surveys showed a raised U.S. GDP forecast for 2027 to 2.1%, a reduced probability of recession in China alongside lower GDP growth expectations, and expectations of a June rate hike in Western Europe. WatchGold
• Investors fearing an extended Middle East conflict that invites inflation and, possibly, recession tend to trim their more volatile assets, including bitcoin and ethereum. Yahoo Finance
• Canadian macro conditions including Inflation, commodity prices, CAD fluctuations, interest-rate expectations, and Recession fears influenced speculative risk appetite. Kalkine
• Both the US and eurozone economies have their weaknesses and any talk about recession risks would quickly turn the direction of real rates. investing.com
• The OECD has downgraded its global growth outlook, warning that rising energy prices, geopolitical tensions and persistent inflation are weighing on the world economy and could push several countries into recession if disruptions continue. Yahoo! Finance
• The # 1 question for the Asian construction sectors is how long will the Iran conflict last, will it cause inflation to spike in the next 3 to 6 months or perhaps a global recession. Compass International, Inc.
• The rebound in Mexico's industry eases recession fears, but manufacturing activity is far from a boom. Pantheon Macroeconomics
• Goldman Sachs Asset Management argues recent corporate credit spread widening is more noise than signal, suggesting markets may be overpricing recession risk. The Idea Farm
• The absence of a recession, solid profit growth, Trump likely to pivot to more consumer-friendly policies ahead of the mid-terms and the Fed and RBA likely to cut rates 2027 should result in okay overall returns. Propel Financial Advice
• For more than two decades, the Chinese government has been focused on building the surveillance technology infrastructure, through public-private partnerships (stakeholder capitalism), that will ultimately enable the centralised control of all resource allocation and thus of its citizens' behaviour. Unlimited Hangout
• Broader concerns about global recession risk or demand erosion from electric vehicle adoption have added complexity to the 2026 demand picture. Mudrex Learn

Last updated: 13 September 2026