Global Scans · Decent Work and Growth · Weekly Summary

In September 2015, 193 world leaders agreed to 17 Global Goals for Sustainable Development. If these Goals are completed, it would mean an end to extreme poverty, inequality and climate change by 2030.
Goal 9: Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation.

• [New] A dislocation of the global economy would mean 7% to 12% GDP losses, reduced prosperity, soaring prices, slower growth, slower innovation, rising social risks and instability, increased risks of conflicts, and ultimately less economic security for the EU and on the global stage. InterEconomics
• [New] In terms of the developer population, firms like IDC expect it to jump from 30 million paid developers in 2024 to 50 million by 2029 - that's a 10% annual growth rate. Morgan Stanley
• [New] Businesses accelerated exports in 2025 to mitigate anticipated US tariff hikes, which may leave limited room for growth in 2026. Thai Examiner
• [New] The OECD revised its 2025 global growth outlook upward, citing resilient emerging markets, front-loaded trade flows in response to anticipated US tariff changes, and strong investment in high technology sectors. DredgeWire
• [New] By 2028, agentic AI will autonomously manage at least 15% of day-to-day work decisions. BairesDev
• [New] The US economy would see growth rates below 1.0% in 2026-2027, with negative spillover impacts on the global economy. Euromonitor
• [New] Artificial intelligence will transform work worldwide, for example, and that shift should be incorporated into higher education curriculum and degrees. The Conversation
• [New] Government policies are accelerating growth in solar sustainable energy, with global solar capacity expected to exceed 5 terawatts by 2030. Soleos Solar Energy Private Limited
• [New] The Asia pacific region is expected to account highest growth rate in the forecast period of 2025 to 2034. Precedence Research
• [New] North America remains the dominant region today, but Asia-Pacific and other emerging regions present the strongest growth potential. The National Law Review
• [New] Monthly monitoring enables quick responses to shifts in U.S. shale growth rates or demand patterns that could alter the optimal production trajectory. Discovery Alert
• [New] Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology exhibits strong growth potential, with earnings forecasted to increase significantly over the next three years. Yahoo Finance
• [New] Earnings growth estimates for the S&P 500 are on a similar trajectory, forecast to increase 11% in 2025 to $266.18, and 14% in 2026 to $302.85. Luft Financial
• [New] Response: Management prioritizes long-term value over short-term margin and is willing to invest behind growth (e.g., lower free-shipping threshold drove items sold acceleration from 26% to 42% in Brazil), expecting margins to recover as investments (credit card, 1 P) mature. Ainvest
• [New] Infrastructure is expected to drive 1.5 percentage points of revenue growth in 2025 for IBM. Yahoo Finance
• [New] Looking ahead, GDP growth is forecast to accelerate to 3.8% in 2026, supported by resilient domestic activity and continued export performance. / Turkey RestProperty
• [New] AI and machine learning and generative AI and large language models dominate the top technology trends or priorities that respondents anticipate will impact their work in 2026, along with cloud security and data privacy and sovereignty. ISACA
• [New] About 80 million jobs could be restructured by 2030 as routine work shifts to automation. The Tech Buzz
• [New] Strong Future Growth: Small businesses remain confident, with 93% expecting growth in 2026 and 31% projecting significant growth - the highest since Q1 2024. Cision PR Newswire
• [New] The aggregate higher revision was driven by growth in Saudi Arabia, the Arab world's largest economy, which is forecast to grow 4% in 2025 and 2026, up 0.4 and 0.1 percentage points, respectively, because of Opec +'s unwinding of voluntary oil production cuts. The National
• [New] GDP growth in the MENA and Pakistan region is projected to strengthen in 2025 at a faster pace than anticipated in May. The National
• [New] For emerging European economies, forecasts show good resilience thanks to Polish and Turkish growth, which are expected to continue to outperform. economic-research.bnpparibas.com
• [New] Growth in emerging and developing economies is expected to slow from 4.3% in 2024 to 4.2% in 2025 and 4.0% in 2026. economic-research.bnpparibas.com

Last updated: 02 November 2025